1st period totals

Friday, March 6, 2026 · 7 games

1.75League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

24%1P over 2.5

CAR@EDM

1st period: CAR 2, EDM 1

1.96Expected 1P goals

86% Over 0.5 · fair -609

58% Over 1.5 · fair -140

31% Over 2.5 · fair +220

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CARThis season	61	1.11	0.82	1.93	87%	56%	30%	10.7	7.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 0-0 2-0 3-2 1-0
Last 10	10	1.50	0.50	2.00	90%	60%	30%	10.4	9.3
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	0.85	1.70	75%	55%	30%	11.0	9.1
EDMThis season	62	0.98	1.00	1.98	82%	60%	34%	9.6	8.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-2 1-3 2-1 2-1 1-2
Last 10	10	1.20	1.60	2.80	90%	90%	70%	9.9	9.4
Home (last 20)	20	1.25	1.10	2.35	85%	70%	50%	10.9	8.3

STL@SJS

1st period: STL 1, SJS 0

1.95Expected 1P goals

86% Over 0.5 · fair -604

58% Over 1.5 · fair -139

31% Over 2.5 · fair +222

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
STLThis season	61	0.87	0.97	1.84	84%	62%	28%	7.9	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-0 0-0 1-1 2-1
Last 10	10	1.00	0.90	1.90	70%	60%	40%	9.7	9.1
Away (last 20)	20	0.70	1.25	1.95	90%	70%	30%	7.3	10.4
SJSThis season	59	1.02	1.05	2.07	81%	64%	32%	8.9	10.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-1 3-1 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	1.40	0.70	2.10	80%	60%	40%	10.9	9.5
Home (last 20)	20	1.15	1.25	2.40	90%	70%	40%	11.0	9.9

MIN@VGK

1st period: MIN 0, VGK 0

1.85Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -539

55% Over 1.5 · fair -124

28% Over 2.5 · fair +252

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
MINThis season	62	0.97	0.79	1.76	81%	52%	27%	8.8	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-0 0-1 0-0 3-3
Last 10	10	1.10	1.10	2.20	80%	60%	40%	7.9	11.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	0.65	1.65	75%	45%	25%	8.4	9.7
VGKThis season	62	0.87	1.08	1.95	89%	60%	24%	8.8	8.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.60	1.10	1.70	80%	40%	20%	7.0	8.5
Home (last 20)	20	0.95	1.25	2.20	90%	60%	30%	9.7	7.7

MTL@ANA

1st period: MTL 2, ANA 2

1.83Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -521

55% Over 1.5 · fair -120

28% Over 2.5 · fair +262

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
MTLThis season	60	1.02	0.82	1.83	87%	60%	25%	8.4	8.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 2-1 1-0 1-1 1-2
Last 10	10	1.10	0.90	2.00	100%	60%	30%	8.6	7.8
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	0.95	1.95	85%	55%	30%	8.0	9.4
ANAThis season	61	0.77	1.05	1.82	84%	56%	28%	9.3	9.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-1 0-2 0-1 0-1 1-2
Last 10	10	0.60	1.00	1.60	80%	50%	20%	9.4	10.7
Home (last 20)	20	0.65	1.05	1.70	85%	45%	25%	9.6	8.2

COL@DAL

1st period: COL 2, DAL 3

1.69Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -440

50% Over 1.5 · fair -101

24% Over 2.5 · fair +318

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
COLThis season	60	1.10	0.72	1.82	83%	58%	25%	11.4	9.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 2-1 0-1 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.70	0.60	1.30	60%	40%	20%	9.1	8.0
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	0.65	1.55	80%	45%	20%	9.9	10.0
DALThis season	61	0.90	0.66	1.56	79%	51%	16%	8.1	8.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 1-1 0-2 1-0 1-2
Last 10	10	1.00	0.80	1.80	80%	60%	30%	9.1	6.7
Home (last 20)	20	0.75	0.60	1.35	75%	45%	15%	8.8	6.8

VAN@CHI

1st period: VAN 3, CHI 2

1.63Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -411

49% Over 1.5 · fair +106

22% Over 2.5 · fair +345

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
VANThis season	61	0.74	1.03	1.77	84%	56%	26%	8.5	9.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 1-1 0-2 1-1 0-0
Last 10	10	0.60	1.00	1.60	60%	60%	30%	7.6	9.3
Away (last 20)	20	0.80	1.10	1.90	90%	70%	25%	8.0	10.5
CHIThis season	61	0.70	0.79	1.49	75%	51%	16%	8.2	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-0 1-0 0-1 0-2
Last 10	10	0.80	0.60	1.40	90%	50%	0%	7.8	8.2
Home (last 20)	20	0.55	1.10	1.65	80%	55%	20%	7.9	8.4

FLA@DET

1st period: FLA 1, DET 0

1.60Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -394

47% Over 1.5 · fair +111

22% Over 2.5 · fair +363

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
FLAThis season	62	0.84	0.95	1.79	85%	47%	29%	9.4	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-1 2-1 0-1 3-0
Last 10	10	1.20	1.30	2.50	100%	70%	50%	11.1	9.2
Away (last 20)	20	0.95	1.05	2.00	85%	60%	30%	8.7	8.6
DETThis season	62	0.63	0.77	1.40	76%	47%	13%	8.2	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-1 1-1 0-2 0-1 0-2
Last 10	10	0.50	1.00	1.50	80%	50%	10%	7.6	9.2
Home (last 20)	20	0.65	0.80	1.45	85%	45%	10%	8.0	8.9

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.