1st period totals

Saturday, March 7, 2026 · 11 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

24%1P over 2.5

NSH@BUF

1st period: NSH 0, BUF 0

1.97Expected 1P goals

86% Over 0.5 · fair -615

59% Over 1.5 · fair -141

31% Over 2.5 · fair +218

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NSHThis season	62	0.81	1.11	1.92	87%	58%	27%	9.0	10.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-1 1-1 2-0 1-0
Last 10	10	1.30	1.10	2.40	100%	70%	30%	9.8	10.8
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	1.40	2.40	100%	70%	45%	9.2	11.1
BUFThis season	62	1.05	0.97	2.02	94%	60%	27%	8.8	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-0 4-0 1-0 0-0
Last 10	10	1.30	0.70	2.00	90%	60%	30%	9.7	10.5
Home (last 20)	20	1.15	0.85	2.00	100%	60%	30%	9.2	8.7

TBL@TOR

1st period: TBL 4, TOR 1

1.91Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -577

57% Over 1.5 · fair -133

30% Over 2.5 · fair +234

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
TBLThis season	60	1.08	0.93	2.02	87%	55%	30%	9.3	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-1 0-4 2-3 0-0
Last 10	10	0.70	1.20	1.90	70%	50%	30%	9.5	11.6
Away (last 20)	20	1.15	1.05	2.20	85%	55%	40%	9.8	8.1
TORThis season	63	0.89	0.92	1.81	84%	62%	22%	8.0	9.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-1 1-1 1-1 0-3
Last 10	10	0.60	0.80	1.40	70%	60%	10%	7.4	10.0
Home (last 20)	20	0.95	1.00	1.95	90%	70%	25%	8.0	10.9

NYI@SJS

1st period: NYI 1, SJS 0

1.82Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -516

54% Over 1.5 · fair -119

27% Over 2.5 · fair +264

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NYIThis season	63	0.79	0.79	1.59	79%	49%	22%	8.8	9.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-3 1-2 0-1 0-1
Last 10	10	0.70	1.10	1.80	80%	40%	40%	7.9	9.9
Away (last 20)	20	0.50	0.80	1.30	80%	30%	15%	8.3	9.9
SJSThis season	60	1.00	1.05	2.05	82%	63%	32%	8.9	10.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-1 0-1 3-1 0-0
Last 10	10	1.10	0.70	1.80	80%	50%	30%	10.3	8.7
Home (last 20)	20	1.05	1.30	2.35	90%	65%	40%	11.2	9.7

WSH@BOS

1st period: WSH 0, BOS 0

1.78Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -496

53% Over 1.5 · fair -114

27% Over 2.5 · fair +277

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
WSHThis season	63	0.81	0.83	1.63	83%	46%	21%	9.3	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 2-0
Last 10	10	0.50	0.80	1.30	70%	40%	20%	9.2	8.9
Away (last 20)	20	1.15	0.75	1.90	95%	55%	25%	9.3	9.4
BOSThis season	61	1.00	0.93	1.93	87%	66%	28%	9.4	8.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 2-1 0-0 1-1 2-1
Last 10	10	1.20	0.80	2.00	90%	60%	40%	9.3	9.0
Home (last 20)	20	1.30	0.75	2.05	90%	75%	30%	9.7	8.8

CAR@CGY

1st period: CAR 1, CGY 0

1.78Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -492

53% Over 1.5 · fair -113

26% Over 2.5 · fair +279

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CARThis season	62	1.13	0.82	1.95	87%	56%	31%	10.6	7.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 1-2 0-0 2-0 3-2
Last 10	10	1.40	0.60	2.00	90%	60%	30%	10.4	8.2
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	0.75	1.60	75%	55%	30%	10.8	8.7
CGYThis season	61	0.77	0.84	1.61	80%	44%	25%	9.6	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-2 1-0 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.70	1.50	80%	50%	20%	11.4	9.2
Home (last 20)	20	1.00	0.65	1.65	90%	45%	20%	10.1	8.4

PHI@PIT

1st period: PHI 1, PIT 1

1.75Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -478

52% Over 1.5 · fair -110

26% Over 2.5 · fair +289

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
PHIThis season	61	0.75	0.87	1.62	82%	52%	20%	7.5	7.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 0-0
Last 10	10	0.30	0.80	1.10	60%	40%	10%	7.0	7.9
Away (last 20)	20	0.80	0.95	1.75	90%	65%	15%	8.3	8.5
PITThis season	61	1.11	0.77	1.89	92%	59%	31%	9.2	8.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-2 1-0 1-0 1-0
Last 10	10	1.20	0.70	1.90	100%	60%	30%	8.5	8.2
Home (last 20)	20	1.25	0.60	1.85	95%	60%	30%	9.0	8.4

VAN@WPG

1st period: VAN 1, WPG 0

1.71Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -451

51% Over 1.5 · fair -104

24% Over 2.5 · fair +309

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
VANThis season	62	0.77	1.05	1.82	84%	56%	27%	8.5	9.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-2 2-1 1-1 0-2 1-1
Last 10	10	0.90	1.20	2.10	70%	70%	40%	7.5	9.2
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	1.10	1.95	90%	70%	25%	8.1	10.3
WPGThis season	61	0.87	0.72	1.59	77%	56%	16%	8.6	8.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-1 1-0 1-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.60	0.60	1.20	80%	40%	0%	8.9	8.8
Home (last 20)	20	0.90	0.50	1.40	65%	50%	10%	9.3	7.1

OTT@SEA

1st period: OTT 2, SEA 1

1.70Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -450

51% Over 1.5 · fair -103

24% Over 2.5 · fair +310

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
OTTThis season	61	1.00	0.93	1.93	85%	64%	31%	9.2	7.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 2-2 1-1 1-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.70	0.70	1.40	80%	40%	10%	10.1	6.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.25	0.85	2.10	75%	65%	45%	9.4	6.7
SEAThis season	61	0.64	0.84	1.48	72%	52%	18%	8.4	9.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-0 2-0 1-1 0-1
Last 10	10	1.00	0.50	1.50	70%	60%	10%	8.5	9.9
Home (last 20)	20	0.65	0.80	1.45	75%	55%	15%	8.9	9.3

NYR@NJD

1st period: NYR 2, NJD 2

1.68Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -434

50% Over 1.5 · fair +100

24% Over 2.5 · fair +323

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NYRThis season	61	0.79	1.00	1.79	84%	51%	25%	7.7	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-2 0-1 1-0 0-1
Last 10	10	0.60	1.30	1.90	90%	60%	30%	6.8	10.0
Away (last 20)	20	1.05	1.05	2.10	90%	70%	30%	7.3	10.3
NJDThis season	62	0.68	0.89	1.56	84%	44%	16%	9.9	8.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-1 0-0
Last 10	10	0.40	0.60	1.00	60%	40%	0%	9.9	8.2
Home (last 20)	20	0.65	0.85	1.50	75%	55%	10%	9.4	8.6

MTL@LAK

1st period: MTL 0, LAK 1

1.64Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -415

49% Over 1.5 · fair +105

23% Over 2.5 · fair +341

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
MTLThis season	61	1.03	0.84	1.87	87%	61%	26%	8.3	8.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-2 1-1 2-1 1-0 1-1
Last 10	10	1.30	0.90	2.20	100%	60%	40%	8.0	8.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.05	1.05	2.10	85%	60%	35%	7.9	9.5
LAKThis season	61	0.64	0.77	1.41	75%	39%	16%	9.0	8.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-2 0-0 1-2 1-1
Last 10	10	0.80	1.50	2.30	90%	70%	40%	10.0	8.2
Home (last 20)	20	0.80	0.75	1.55	65%	45%	30%	10.0	8.5

UTA@CBJ

1st period: UTA 1, CBJ 1

1.63Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -409

48% Over 1.5 · fair +107

22% Over 2.5 · fair +347

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
UTAThis season	62	0.81	0.71	1.52	77%	52%	15%	9.1	8.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 2-1 0-1 1-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.90	0.70	1.60	80%	40%	30%	8.1	8.0
Away (last 20)	20	0.55	0.75	1.30	65%	40%	15%	8.8	8.9
CBJThis season	61	1.03	0.70	1.74	87%	52%	23%	9.8	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-1 2-0 1-0 1-1
Last 10	10	1.30	0.50	1.80	90%	70%	20%	10.1	7.2
Home (last 20)	20	1.50	0.70	2.20	100%	55%	30%	9.5	8.1

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.