1st period totals

Thursday, March 5, 2026 · 8 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

55%1P over 1.5

24%1P over 2.5

BUF@PIT

1st period: BUF 1, PIT 1

1.95Expected 1P goals

86% Over 0.5 · fair -603

58% Over 1.5 · fair -138

31% Over 2.5 · fair +223

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
BUFThis season	61	1.05	0.97	2.02	93%	59%	28%	8.9	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 4-0 1-0 0-0 1-2
Last 10	10	1.50	0.80	2.30	90%	60%	40%	10.0	10.5
Away (last 20)	20	1.20	0.85	2.05	90%	60%	30%	9.0	10.5
PITThis season	60	1.12	0.77	1.88	92%	58%	32%	9.2	8.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 1-0 1-0 1-0 2-1
Last 10	10	1.10	0.60	1.70	90%	50%	30%	8.7	8.3
Home (last 20)	20	1.25	0.55	1.80	95%	55%	30%	8.9	8.3

BOS@NSH

1st period: BOS 0, NSH 1

1.94Expected 1P goals

86% Over 0.5 · fair -597

58% Over 1.5 · fair -137

31% Over 2.5 · fair +225

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
BOSThis season	60	1.02	0.93	1.95	87%	67%	28%	9.4	8.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 0-0 1-1 2-1 3-1
Last 10	10	1.50	0.70	2.20	90%	70%	50%	10.0	8.6
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	1.05	1.95	90%	60%	30%	9.2	9.4
NSHThis season	61	0.80	1.13	1.93	87%	59%	28%	9.1	10.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-1 2-0 1-0 0-2
Last 10	10	1.20	1.20	2.40	100%	70%	30%	9.6	10.7
Home (last 20)	20	0.80	1.20	2.00	85%	55%	25%	9.9	11.0

TBL@WPG

1st period: TBL 0, WPG 0

1.83Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -526

55% Over 1.5 · fair -121

28% Over 2.5 · fair +259

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
TBLThis season	59	1.10	0.95	2.05	88%	56%	31%	9.4	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-4 2-3 0-0 2-0
Last 10	10	0.90	1.60	2.50	80%	60%	40%	9.8	11.9
Away (last 20)	20	1.20	1.10	2.30	90%	60%	40%	10.1	8.2
WPGThis season	60	0.88	0.73	1.62	78%	57%	17%	8.6	8.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-0 1-0 1-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.60	0.60	1.20	80%	40%	0%	9.0	9.4
Home (last 20)	20	1.00	0.55	1.55	70%	55%	15%	9.4	7.5

TOR@NYR

1st period: TOR 1, NYR 1

1.79Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -502

54% Over 1.5 · fair -115

27% Over 2.5 · fair +273

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
TORThis season	62	0.89	0.92	1.81	84%	61%	23%	8.0	10.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-1 1-1 0-3 0-0
Last 10	10	0.70	1.00	1.70	70%	60%	20%	7.0	10.6
Away (last 20)	20	0.70	0.70	1.40	65%	45%	25%	8.1	9.5
NYRThis season	60	0.78	1.00	1.78	83%	50%	25%	7.7	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 0-1 1-0 0-1 0-2
Last 10	10	0.70	1.40	2.10	90%	60%	40%	7.2	9.8
Home (last 20)	20	0.45	0.90	1.35	75%	30%	15%	7.3	8.5

OTT@CGY

1st period: OTT 0, CGY 1

1.78Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -495

53% Over 1.5 · fair -114

26% Over 2.5 · fair +277

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
OTTThis season	60	1.02	0.93	1.95	85%	65%	32%	9.3	7.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-2 1-1 1-0 0-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.70	0.90	1.60	80%	50%	20%	10.7	6.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.40	0.85	2.25	75%	70%	50%	9.5	6.9
CGYThis season	60	0.77	0.85	1.62	80%	45%	25%	9.6	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 1-0 0-0 0-0 2-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.70	1.50	80%	50%	20%	12.2	9.2
Home (last 20)	20	0.95	0.65	1.60	85%	45%	20%	10.0	8.5

FLA@CBJ

1st period: FLA 0, CBJ 1

1.78Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -491

53% Over 1.5 · fair -113

26% Over 2.5 · fair +280

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
FLAThis season	61	0.85	0.95	1.80	85%	48%	30%	9.4	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 2-1 0-1 3-0 0-2
Last 10	10	1.20	1.30	2.50	100%	70%	50%	11.4	9.0
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	1.00	2.00	85%	60%	30%	8.8	8.8
CBJThis season	60	1.03	0.72	1.75	87%	53%	23%	9.8	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 2-0 1-0 1-1 2-0
Last 10	10	1.60	0.70	2.30	90%	80%	30%	10.3	7.2
Home (last 20)	20	1.45	0.70	2.15	95%	55%	30%	9.6	8.0

UTA@PHI

1st period: UTA 0, PHI 0

1.60Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -393

47% Over 1.5 · fair +111

22% Over 2.5 · fair +364

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
UTAThis season	61	0.82	0.72	1.54	79%	52%	15%	9.2	8.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 0-1 1-0 0-0 2-0
Last 10	10	0.90	0.70	1.60	80%	40%	30%	8.9	8.7
Away (last 20)	20	0.55	0.80	1.35	70%	40%	15%	8.9	8.9
PHIThis season	60	0.77	0.88	1.65	83%	53%	20%	7.6	8.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.30	0.90	1.20	70%	40%	10%	7.3	8.2
Home (last 20)	20	0.85	1.00	1.85	80%	55%	30%	8.1	7.3

NYI@LAK

1st period: NYI 0, LAK 1

1.51Expected 1P goals

78% Over 0.5 · fair -351

44% Over 1.5 · fair +125

19% Over 2.5 · fair +419

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NYIThis season	62	0.81	0.79	1.60	79%	50%	23%	8.9	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-3 1-2 0-1 0-1 0-0
Last 10	10	0.90	1.10	2.00	80%	50%	50%	8.8	8.7
Away (last 20)	20	0.50	0.75	1.25	75%	30%	15%	8.3	9.4
LAKThis season	60	0.63	0.78	1.42	75%	40%	17%	8.8	8.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 0-0 1-2 1-1 1-4
Last 10	10	0.70	1.50	2.20	80%	70%	40%	9.0	8.2
Home (last 20)	20	0.75	0.80	1.55	65%	45%	30%	9.2	8.8

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.