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1st period totals

Wednesday, March 4, 2026 · 5 games

← Mar 3 Mar 5 →
1.75League 1P goals/game, 2025–26
83%1P over 0.5
54%1P over 1.5
24%1P over 2.5
CAR@VAN
1st period: CAR 1, VAN 2
1.83Expected 1P goals
84% Over 0.5 · fair -525
55% Over 1.5 · fair -121
28% Over 2.5 · fair +259
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
CARThis season 60 1.120.801.92 87%55%28% 10.67.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 2-0 3-2 1-0 1-1
Last 10 10 1.500.401.90 90%60%20% 10.29.0
Away (last 20) 20 0.850.751.60 75%50%25% 10.99.5
VANThis season 60 0.721.031.75 83%55%25% 8.59.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-2 1-1 0-0 1-2
Last 10 10 0.401.001.40 60%50%20% 7.68.6
Home (last 20) 20 0.651.101.75 80%50%30% 8.98.6
TOR@NJD
1st period: TOR 1, NJD 1
1.68Expected 1P goals
81% Over 0.5 · fair -437
50% Over 1.5 · fair -100
24% Over 2.5 · fair +321
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
TORThis season 61 0.890.921.80 84%61%23% 8.09.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-1 0-3 0-0 0-0
Last 10 10 0.601.101.70 70%60%20% 6.510.9
Away (last 20) 20 0.700.651.35 65%40%25% 7.89.3
NJDThis season 61 0.670.891.56 84%43%16% 9.98.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
Last 10 10 0.400.500.90 60%30%0% 9.48.0
Home (last 20) 20 0.650.901.55 75%55%15% 9.48.4
NYI@ANA
1st period: NYI 1, ANA 3
1.67Expected 1P goals
81% Over 0.5 · fair -431
50% Over 1.5 · fair +101
23% Over 2.5 · fair +326
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
NYIThis season 61 0.800.751.56 79%49%21% 8.89.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 0-1 0-1 0-0 2-1
Last 10 10 0.900.801.70 80%40%40% 7.88.2
Away (last 20) 20 0.550.601.15 75%30%10% 7.89.0
ANAThis season 60 0.731.051.78 83%55%27% 9.39.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 0-1 0-1 1-2 0-0
Last 10 10 0.500.901.40 80%50%10% 9.49.3
Home (last 20) 20 0.501.101.60 85%45%20% 9.67.6
STL@SEA
1st period: STL 1, SEA 1
1.65Expected 1P goals
81% Over 0.5 · fair -421
49% Over 1.5 · fair +104
23% Over 2.5 · fair +335
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
STLThis season 60 0.870.971.83 83%62%28% 7.89.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-0 1-1 2-1 2-1
Last 10 10 1.000.901.90 70%60%40% 8.69.1
Away (last 20) 20 0.751.201.95 90%70%30% 7.010.5
SEAThis season 60 0.630.831.47 72%52%18% 8.49.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 2-0 1-1 0-1 3-1
Last 10 10 0.900.501.40 70%50%10% 8.49.4
Home (last 20) 20 0.650.801.45 75%55%15% 8.99.1
VGK@DET
1st period: VGK 1, DET 3
1.64Expected 1P goals
81% Over 0.5 · fair -415
49% Over 1.5 · fair +105
23% Over 2.5 · fair +341
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
VGKThis season 61 0.871.051.92 89%59%23% 8.88.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-1 0-0 1-1 4-1
Last 10 10 0.600.801.40 80%30%10% 7.38.2
Away (last 20) 20 0.651.001.65 90%50%20% 7.48.1
DETThis season 61 0.590.771.36 75%46%11% 8.19.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-2 0-1 0-2 1-0
Last 10 10 0.301.001.30 80%50%0% 7.69.6
Home (last 20) 20 0.500.801.30 85%40%5% 8.09.1

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total
Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5
Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals
Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price
The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.