1st period totals

Thursday, October 1, 2026 · 8 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

FLA@SJS

10:00 PM ET

1.94Expected 1P goals

86% Over 0.5 · fair -595

58% Over 1.5 · fair -137

31% Over 2.5 · fair +226

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
FLALast season	82	0.93	0.90	1.83	83%	49%	30%	9.1	9.0	1-0 2-1 2-0 0-2 1-0
Last 10	10	1.60	0.90	2.50	90%	70%	50%	9.1	7.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	1.10	2.10	80%	65%	35%	9.1	8.1
SJSLast season	82	0.96	1.09	2.05	82%	62%	33%	8.6	9.6	2-1 1-0 0-0 1-0 0-2
Last 10	10	0.80	1.00	1.80	90%	60%	30%	7.3	8.8
Home (last 20)	20	0.90	1.10	2.00	85%	55%	35%	9.7	8.6

EDM@VAN

10:00 PM ET

1.92Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -583

57% Over 1.5 · fair -134

30% Over 2.5 · fair +231

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
EDMLast season	82	1.00	0.95	1.95	80%	57%	34%	9.4	8.7	1-3 3-0 2-0 1-2 1-1
Last 10	10	1.60	0.90	2.50	90%	80%	50%	10.4	9.4
Away (last 20)	20	1.10	1.25	2.35	85%	70%	55%	8.2	9.5
VANLast season	82	0.83	1.06	1.89	84%	56%	32%	8.4	9.5	1-4 1-1 2-1 0-1 1-2
Last 10	10	1.20	1.40	2.60	90%	70%	60%	8.6	10.0
Home (last 20)	20	0.75	0.90	1.65	70%	50%	30%	7.8	9.1

BUF@CBJ

7:00 PM ET

1.87Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -550

56% Over 1.5 · fair -126

29% Over 2.5 · fair +246

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
BUFLast season	82	1.02	0.94	1.96	91%	57%	28%	9.0	9.1	0-2 2-3 3-2 1-2 1-1
Last 10	10	1.60	1.30	2.90	100%	90%	50%	9.9	9.1
Away (last 20)	20	1.35	0.90	2.25	80%	65%	40%	10.6	9.2
CBJLast season	82	1.01	0.77	1.78	88%	56%	24%	9.9	8.5	0-0 1-1 2-1 0-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.90	1.00	1.90	90%	70%	30%	9.3	7.9
Home (last 20)	20	1.45	0.75	2.20	95%	70%	35%	10.3	7.5

TBL@NYR

7:00 PM ET

1.83Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -523

55% Over 1.5 · fair -120

28% Over 2.5 · fair +261

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
TBLLast season	82	0.96	0.93	1.89	83%	54%	28%	9.0	9.1	0-1 0-0 0-1 0-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.30	0.70	1.00	70%	30%	0%	7.4	7.3
Away (last 20)	20	0.75	1.00	1.75	70%	45%	25%	8.3	8.2
NYRLast season	82	0.82	0.95	1.77	84%	51%	26%	7.6	9.3	1-0 1-2 0-0 1-2 1-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.60	1.40	70%	50%	20%	7.8	8.3
Home (last 20)	20	0.60	0.95	1.55	85%	45%	20%	6.6	9.8

MIN@NSH

8:00 PM ET

1.77Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -486

53% Over 1.5 · fair -112

26% Over 2.5 · fair +283

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
MINLast season	82	0.91	0.80	1.72	80%	51%	27%	8.9	9.5	3-0 1-0 2-0 1-2 2-3
Last 10	10	1.40	1.00	2.40	100%	80%	40%	9.8	9.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.15	0.90	2.05	80%	60%	35%	10.6	9.7
NSHLast season	82	0.82	1.00	1.82	84%	54%	24%	8.8	10.3	2-2 0-0 1-0 0-1 0-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.50	1.30	70%	30%	20%	8.8	8.5
Home (last 20)	20	1.00	0.95	1.95	85%	50%	25%	8.7	10.9

PHI@NJD

7:00 PM ET

1.69Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -441

50% Over 1.5 · fair -101

24% Over 2.5 · fair +317

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
PHILast season	82	0.79	0.83	1.62	84%	52%	18%	7.7	7.7	1-0 0-1 2-1 0-2 0-0
Last 10	10	0.30	0.70	1.00	70%	20%	10%	7.5	8.6
Away (last 20)	20	0.75	0.75	1.50	80%	50%	15%	8.4	7.1
NJDLast season	82	0.78	0.98	1.76	88%	49%	22%	9.8	8.6	0-4 2-0 1-1 0-1 1-2
Last 10	10	0.90	1.50	2.40	100%	70%	40%	9.7	9.6
Home (last 20)	20	0.80	1.00	1.80	80%	60%	25%	9.9	8.2

CHI@UTA

9:30 PM ET

1.67Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -432

50% Over 1.5 · fair +101

24% Over 2.5 · fair +325

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
CHILast season	82	0.74	0.88	1.62	77%	54%	22%	8.1	9.6	0-1 1-1 1-1 1-2 1-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.70	1.50	80%	50%	20%	7.9	9.0
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	0.75	1.60	80%	55%	20%	8.2	9.7
UTALast season	82	0.93	0.79	1.72	82%	59%	21%	9.1	8.3	0-1 1-1 0-2 2-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.70	1.00	1.70	100%	70%	0%	7.5	10.0
Home (last 20)	20	1.05	0.95	2.00	90%	65%	25%	9.0	8.5

SEA@CGY

9:00 PM ET

1.58Expected 1P goals

79% Over 0.5 · fair -385

47% Over 1.5 · fair +114

21% Over 2.5 · fair +373

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
SEALast season	82	0.70	0.89	1.59	73%	56%	23%	8.5	9.8	0-0 0-0 0-2 0-0 0-1
Last 10	10	0.50	0.80	1.30	60%	50%	20%	8.7	10.4
Away (last 20)	20	0.95	0.95	1.90	80%	70%	30%	8.8	9.9
CGYLast season	82	0.72	0.85	1.57	78%	43%	26%	9.2	9.2	0-0 0-0 2-0 0-0 0-1
Last 10	10	0.60	0.80	1.40	60%	40%	20%	7.6	11.0
Home (last 20)	20	0.80	0.50	1.30	75%	35%	20%	8.9	8.4

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 20 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.