1st period totals

Wednesday, September 30, 2026 · 3 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

PIT@PHI

7:30 PM ET

1.79Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -501

53% Over 1.5 · fair -115

27% Over 2.5 · fair +274

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
PITLast season	82	1.13	0.83	1.96	90%	59%	33%	9.1	8.6	0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.70	0.10	0.80	50%	10%	10%	7.8	8.7
Away (last 20)	20	1.10	0.75	1.85	80%	50%	35%	9.5	9.8
PHILast season	82	0.79	0.83	1.62	84%	52%	18%	7.7	7.7	1-0 0-1 2-1 0-2 0-0
Last 10	10	0.30	0.70	1.00	70%	20%	10%	7.5	8.6
Home (last 20)	20	0.45	0.65	1.10	75%	30%	5%	7.1	8.2

NYI@TOR

7:30 PM ET

1.71Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -455

51% Over 1.5 · fair -104

25% Over 2.5 · fair +306

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
NYILast season	82	0.78	0.82	1.60	80%	49%	23%	8.9	9.1	0-1 0-0 0-1 2-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.40	0.90	1.30	80%	40%	10%	8.7	8.7
Away (last 20)	20	0.55	0.75	1.30	80%	30%	15%	8.3	9.7
TORLast season	82	0.84	0.99	1.83	85%	62%	23%	7.8	10.3	0-1 3-0 0-2 1-2 0-1
Last 10	10	0.90	1.00	1.90	90%	70%	30%	6.9	11.4
Home (last 20)	20	1.05	1.30	2.35	100%	80%	35%	7.5	11.4

LAK@COL

10:00 PM ET

1.70Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -445

51% Over 1.5 · fair -102

24% Over 2.5 · fair +314

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
LAKLast season	82	0.73	0.74	1.48	78%	41%	18%	9.1	8.3	0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.70	0.40	1.10	70%	30%	10%	8.5	8.0
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	0.70	1.55	75%	45%	20%	8.2	8.1
COLLast season	82	1.17	0.74	1.91	80%	59%	27%	11.7	8.8	0-1 3-0 1-0 0-0 0-3
Last 10	10	1.00	1.00	2.00	90%	50%	40%	11.0	9.1
Home (last 20)	20	1.10	0.95	2.05	70%	50%	35%	12.6	8.4

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 20 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.