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1st period totals

Monday, May 18, 2026 · 1 game

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26
82%1P over 0.5
54%1P over 1.5
25%1P over 2.5
MTL@BUF
1st period: MTL 2, BUF 0
1.87Expected 1P goals
85% Over 0.5 · fair -546
56% Over 1.5 · fair -125
29% Over 2.5 · fair +248
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total O0.5O1.5O2.51P SF1P SALast 5 (for-against)
MTLThis season 82 0.910.851.77 85%57%24% 8.68.7 3-2 2-3 2-1 1-1 2-0
Last 10 10 1.300.902.20 80%60%40% 8.68.6
Away (last 20) 20 0.850.851.70 85%50%20% 8.49.3
BUFThis season 82 1.020.941.96 91%57%28% 9.09.1 2-3 3-2 1-2 1-1 0-2
Last 10 10 1.601.102.70 90%80%50% 10.58.9
Home (last 20) 20 0.950.851.80 90%50%30% 9.28.3

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total
Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5
Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals
Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 20 games.
Over % and fair price
The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.