1st period totals

Saturday, May 16, 2026 · 1 game

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

BUF@MTL

1st period: BUF 2, MTL 3

1.87Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -546

56% Over 1.5 · fair -125

29% Over 2.5 · fair +248

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
BUFThis season	82	1.02	0.94	1.96	91%	57%	28%	9.0	9.1	3-2 1-2 1-1 0-2 2-1
Last 10	10	1.40	0.80	2.20	80%	70%	40%	10.1	9.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.40	0.85	2.25	80%	65%	40%	10.5	9.3
MTLThis season	82	0.91	0.85	1.77	85%	57%	24%	8.6	8.7	2-3 2-1 1-1 2-0 1-2
Last 10	10	1.10	0.80	1.90	80%	60%	30%	8.8	8.1
Home (last 20)	20	0.90	0.90	1.80	85%	60%	30%	9.5	9.0

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 20 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.