1st period totals

Saturday, April 18, 2026 · 3 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

OTT@CAR

1st period: OTT 0, CAR 0

1.90Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -570

57% Over 1.5 · fair -131

30% Over 2.5 · fair +237

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
OTTThis season	82	0.95	0.89	1.84	82%	60%	29%	9.3	7.6	1-0 0-2 1-0 2-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.80	1.10	1.90	80%	60%	20%	9.0	9.1
Away (last 20)	20	1.05	0.90	1.95	85%	60%	30%	10.0	7.4
CARThis season	82	1.18	0.78	1.96	90%	57%	29%	10.6	7.5	1-0 2-0 2-0 2-1 2-3
Last 10	10	1.80	0.70	2.50	100%	80%	40%	10.4	7.4
Home (last 20)	20	1.30	0.70	2.00	100%	55%	20%	10.9	6.7

PHI@PIT

1st period: PHI 0, PIT 0

1.79Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -501

53% Over 1.5 · fair -115

27% Over 2.5 · fair +274

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
PHIThis season	82	0.79	0.83	1.62	84%	52%	18%	7.7	7.7	2-0 0-2 3-1 1-1 2-1
Last 10	10	1.10	0.80	1.90	90%	70%	20%	8.6	6.5
Away (last 20)	20	0.95	0.75	1.70	90%	60%	15%	8.7	7.9
PITThis season	82	1.13	0.83	1.96	90%	59%	33%	9.1	8.6	3-1 0-0 0-0 1-0 3-1
Last 10	10	1.50	0.50	2.00	70%	50%	50%	8.9	8.1
Home (last 20)	20	1.20	0.75	1.95	90%	55%	30%	8.3	8.3

MIN@DAL

1st period: MIN 1, DAL 0

1.67Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -432

50% Over 1.5 · fair +101

24% Over 2.5 · fair +325

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
MINThis season	82	0.91	0.80	1.72	80%	51%	27%	8.9	9.5	1-1 2-1 0-1 2-1 1-2
Last 10	10	0.90	1.10	2.00	90%	70%	40%	10.4	9.6
Away (last 20)	20	1.15	0.85	2.00	75%	60%	40%	9.9	9.7
DALThis season	82	0.88	0.74	1.62	78%	51%	21%	7.8	7.6	1-1 0-3 0-0 1-2 0-0
Last 10	10	0.40	0.90	1.30	60%	50%	20%	6.0	6.4
Home (last 20)	20	1.05	0.90	1.95	75%	65%	35%	8.3	5.8

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 20 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.