1st period totals

Saturday, February 28, 2026 · 13 games

1.75League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

24%1P over 2.5

BUF@TBL

1st period: BUF 4, TBL 0

2.02Expected 1P goals

87% Over 0.5 · fair -652

60% Over 1.5 · fair -149

33% Over 2.5 · fair +205

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
BUFThis season	59	1.00	1.00	2.00	93%	59%	27%	8.8	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-0 1-2 1-1 2-2
Last 10	10	1.20	0.80	2.00	80%	60%	30%	9.3	10.7
Away (last 20)	20	1.05	0.90	1.95	90%	60%	25%	9.3	10.2
TBLThis season	57	1.14	0.89	2.04	88%	56%	30%	9.3	9.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-3 0-0 2-0 1-1 1-3
Last 10	10	1.00	1.30	2.30	80%	60%	30%	8.6	11.7
Home (last 20)	20	0.90	0.60	1.50	80%	45%	15%	9.0	9.3

EDM@SJS

1st period: EDM 1, SJS 3

1.99Expected 1P goals

86% Over 0.5 · fair -628

59% Over 1.5 · fair -144

32% Over 2.5 · fair +213

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
EDMThis season	60	0.97	0.95	1.92	82%	58%	32%	9.6	8.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 2-1 1-2 0-0 2-2
Last 10	10	0.90	1.40	2.30	80%	80%	60%	9.6	8.5
Away (last 20)	20	1.20	1.05	2.25	85%	65%	45%	9.8	10.0
SJSThis season	56	1.00	1.05	2.05	80%	64%	32%	8.7	10.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-0 0-1 1-1 3-0
Last 10	10	1.20	0.60	1.80	70%	60%	30%	9.7	9.5
Home (last 20)	20	1.05	1.15	2.20	85%	65%	35%	10.5	9.8

OTT@TOR

1st period: OTT 1, TOR 1

1.86Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -539

55% Over 1.5 · fair -124

28% Over 2.5 · fair +252

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
OTTThis season	58	1.00	0.91	1.91	84%	64%	31%	9.2	7.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-0 1-1 0-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.70	1.50	80%	50%	20%	10.1	6.3
Away (last 20)	20	1.30	0.75	2.05	70%	65%	45%	9.1	7.1
TORThis season	59	0.88	0.92	1.80	83%	59%	24%	8.1	9.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-3 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.50	1.20	1.70	70%	60%	20%	7.3	10.4
Home (last 20)	20	1.10	1.00	2.10	90%	70%	30%	8.2	10.4

PIT@NYR

1st period: PIT 1, NYR 0

1.84Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -532

55% Over 1.5 · fair -122

28% Over 2.5 · fair +256

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
PITThis season	57	1.12	0.77	1.89	91%	60%	32%	9.3	8.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 2-1 1-2 1-0 2-0
Last 10	10	1.40	0.50	1.90	90%	60%	40%	9.1	8.7
Away (last 20)	20	1.15	0.75	1.90	90%	55%	35%	9.1	8.2
NYRThis season	58	0.81	0.98	1.79	83%	50%	26%	7.9	9.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-1 0-2 0-0 1-2
Last 10	10	1.10	1.30	2.40	90%	70%	50%	7.8	9.1
Home (last 20)	20	0.55	0.90	1.45	75%	35%	20%	7.8	8.5

BOS@PHI

1st period: BOS 0, PHI 0

1.82Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -517

54% Over 1.5 · fair -119

27% Over 2.5 · fair +264

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
BOSThis season	58	1.02	0.95	1.97	88%	67%	28%	9.4	8.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 2-1 3-1 2-0 1-0
Last 10	10	1.30	1.00	2.30	100%	80%	40%	9.6	9.3
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	1.15	2.05	95%	65%	30%	9.1	9.5
PHIThis season	58	0.78	0.90	1.67	84%	53%	21%	7.5	8.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-2
Last 10	10	0.60	0.80	1.40	80%	50%	10%	7.2	9.3
Home (last 20)	20	0.85	1.10	1.95	85%	60%	30%	8.0	7.3

NJD@STL

1st period: NJD 0, STL 0

1.74Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -468

52% Over 1.5 · fair -107

25% Over 2.5 · fair +296

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NJDThis season	59	0.68	0.90	1.58	85%	42%	17%	9.8	8.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.40	0.40	0.80	60%	20%	0%	8.5	6.7
Away (last 20)	20	0.55	0.90	1.45	85%	30%	15%	9.9	8.1
STLThis season	58	0.90	1.00	1.90	86%	64%	29%	7.7	9.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 2-1 2-1 1-2 3-2
Last 10	10	1.00	1.40	2.40	90%	80%	50%	8.0	9.0
Home (last 20)	20	0.95	0.75	1.70	75%	55%	30%	8.2	8.5

NSH@DAL

1st period: NSH 2, DAL 0

1.72Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -461

51% Over 1.5 · fair -106

25% Over 2.5 · fair +301

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NSHThis season	58	0.78	1.16	1.93	86%	57%	29%	9.0	10.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-2 3-3 1-2 2-2
Last 10	10	0.90	1.50	2.40	100%	60%	40%	8.8	11.6
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	1.50	2.40	100%	65%	50%	8.9	11.3
DALThis season	58	0.90	0.62	1.52	78%	48%	16%	8.1	8.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-2 0-0 3-1 1-0
Last 10	10	1.00	0.60	1.60	80%	50%	20%	9.8	6.0
Home (last 20)	20	0.85	0.50	1.35	75%	45%	15%	8.9	6.6

WSH@MTL

1st period: WSH 1, MTL 2

1.70Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -448

51% Over 1.5 · fair -103

24% Over 2.5 · fair +312

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
WSHThis season	61	0.80	0.79	1.59	82%	44%	18%	9.3	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-0 2-0 0-1 0-1
Last 10	10	0.40	0.60	1.00	70%	30%	0%	8.6	9.9
Away (last 20)	20	1.15	0.70	1.85	95%	55%	20%	9.1	9.7
MTLThis season	58	1.00	0.81	1.81	86%	59%	24%	8.4	8.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-1 1-2 1-0 3-1
Last 10	10	1.20	0.80	2.00	100%	60%	30%	9.2	7.0
Home (last 20)	20	1.00	0.85	1.85	85%	70%	25%	9.3	7.8

CHI@COL

1st period: CHI 1, COL 0

1.65Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -423

49% Over 1.5 · fair +103

23% Over 2.5 · fair +334

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CHIThis season	58	0.69	0.81	1.50	74%	52%	17%	8.2	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-2 1-0 1-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.70	0.60	1.30	80%	50%	0%	7.7	8.7
Away (last 20)	20	0.70	0.85	1.55	80%	60%	10%	8.5	10.6
COLThis season	57	1.09	0.72	1.81	82%	58%	25%	11.4	9.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 2-0
Last 10	10	0.50	0.60	1.10	50%	40%	10%	10.4	7.6
Home (last 20)	20	1.30	0.55	1.85	80%	70%	25%	13.2	8.6

NYI@CBJ

1st period: NYI 0, CBJ 1

1.65Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -420

49% Over 1.5 · fair +104

23% Over 2.5 · fair +336

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NYIThis season	59	0.81	0.73	1.54	78%	49%	20%	8.9	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-0 2-1 1-0 2-2
Last 10	10	0.90	0.60	1.50	70%	40%	30%	8.8	7.9
Away (last 20)	20	0.55	0.55	1.10	70%	30%	10%	8.1	9.0
CBJThis season	57	1.02	0.74	1.75	86%	53%	25%	9.8	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 2-0 0-0 2-1 1-1
Last 10	10	1.50	1.00	2.50	90%	80%	50%	9.1	7.6
Home (last 20)	20	1.40	0.65	2.05	90%	50%	30%	9.3	8.2

DET@CAR

1st period: DET 0, CAR 2

1.64Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -417

49% Over 1.5 · fair +104

23% Over 2.5 · fair +339

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
DETThis season	59	0.59	0.75	1.34	75%	44%	12%	8.1	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-2 1-0 0-2 0-1
Last 10	10	0.40	1.00	1.40	80%	50%	10%	8.3	9.5
Away (last 20)	20	0.80	0.65	1.45	80%	45%	15%	8.3	9.3
CARThis season	58	1.12	0.83	1.95	88%	55%	29%	10.5	7.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-2 1-0 1-1 1-0 2-0
Last 10	10	1.40	0.50	1.90	90%	60%	20%	9.4	9.0
Home (last 20)	20	1.30	0.85	2.15	100%	60%	30%	10.9	6.2

VAN@SEA

1st period: VAN 0, SEA 2

1.61Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -401

48% Over 1.5 · fair +109

22% Over 2.5 · fair +355

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
VANThis season	58	0.72	1.02	1.74	83%	53%	26%	8.5	9.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-0 1-2 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.70	1.00	1.70	60%	50%	40%	8.2	9.0
Away (last 20)	20	0.80	1.05	1.85	90%	65%	25%	7.6	10.7
SEAThis season	58	0.62	0.86	1.48	72%	52%	19%	8.3	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-1 3-1 0-0 2-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.80	1.60	80%	60%	10%	8.0	9.3
Home (last 20)	20	0.65	0.90	1.55	80%	60%	15%	8.7	8.6

CGY@LAK

1st period: CGY 0, LAK 0

1.52Expected 1P goals

78% Over 0.5 · fair -358

45% Over 1.5 · fair +122

20% Over 2.5 · fair +408

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CGYThis season	57	0.77	0.86	1.63	81%	46%	25%	9.5	8.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 2-1 0-1 1-1 0-2
Last 10	10	0.70	0.60	1.30	80%	40%	10%	9.7	8.2
Away (last 20)	20	0.60	1.20	1.80	75%	55%	30%	8.6	9.7
LAKThis season	58	0.64	0.78	1.41	76%	40%	16%	8.8	8.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 1-1 1-4 1-3 0-1
Last 10	10	0.90	1.50	2.40	90%	70%	40%	8.2	7.4
Home (last 20)	20	0.75	0.70	1.45	65%	40%	25%	9.0	8.5

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.