1st period totals

Friday, February 27, 2026 · 4 games

1.75League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

24%1P over 2.5

BUF@FLA

1st period: BUF 1, FLA 0

1.91Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -572

57% Over 1.5 · fair -131

30% Over 2.5 · fair +236

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
BUFThis season	58	1.00	1.02	2.02	93%	60%	28%	8.7	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-2 1-1 2-2 0-1
Last 10	10	1.40	0.80	2.20	80%	70%	40%	9.1	10.4
Away (last 20)	20	1.05	1.05	2.10	90%	65%	30%	8.7	10.2
FLAThis season	58	0.84	0.95	1.79	84%	47%	29%	9.4	8.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-0 0-2 1-2 2-2 1-0
Last 10	10	1.10	1.10	2.20	80%	60%	50%	10.6	7.5
Home (last 20)	20	0.85	1.00	1.85	90%	50%	30%	10.9	8.9

VGK@WSH

1st period: VGK 0, WSH 0

1.80Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -505

54% Over 1.5 · fair -116

27% Over 2.5 · fair +271

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
VGKThis season	58	0.91	1.07	1.98	90%	62%	24%	9.0	8.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 4-1 0-0 0-1 0-2
Last 10	10	0.80	1.00	1.80	90%	50%	20%	7.4	8.2
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	1.10	1.95	95%	60%	25%	8.1	7.7
WSHThis season	60	0.82	0.80	1.62	83%	45%	18%	9.3	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 2-0 0-1 0-1 0-2
Last 10	10	0.60	0.80	1.40	80%	40%	10%	8.7	10.3
Home (last 20)	20	0.60	0.85	1.45	80%	40%	15%	8.8	9.3

WPG@ANA

1st period: WPG 1, ANA 0

1.72Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -458

51% Over 1.5 · fair -105

25% Over 2.5 · fair +303

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
WPGThis season	57	0.88	0.75	1.63	77%	58%	18%	8.6	8.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-1 0-1
Last 10	10	0.50	0.50	1.00	60%	40%	0%	9.0	9.3
Away (last 20)	20	0.60	1.05	1.65	80%	60%	20%	8.0	10.3
ANAThis season	57	0.77	1.04	1.81	82%	56%	28%	9.2	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.70	0.60	1.30	70%	50%	10%	8.1	8.1
Home (last 20)	20	0.70	1.15	1.85	85%	50%	30%	9.2	8.0

MIN@UTA

1st period: MIN 0, UTA 1

1.67Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -433

50% Over 1.5 · fair +101

24% Over 2.5 · fair +324

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
MINThis season	59	1.00	0.81	1.81	81%	54%	29%	8.9	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 3-3 2-1 2-2 2-0
Last 10	10	1.40	1.40	2.80	90%	90%	60%	8.2	11.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	0.60	1.60	70%	45%	25%	8.5	9.4
UTAThis season	58	0.81	0.72	1.53	78%	53%	14%	9.1	8.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 2-0 2-1 1-3 0-1
Last 10	10	0.70	0.90	1.60	80%	50%	20%	8.6	9.6
Home (last 20)	20	0.95	0.80	1.75	85%	70%	15%	8.9	8.9

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.