1st period totals

Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 5 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

FLA@ANA

8:00 PM ET

1.83Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -523

55% Over 1.5 · fair -120

28% Over 2.5 · fair +261

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
FLALast season	82	0.93	0.90	1.83	83%	49%	30%	9.1	9.0	1-0 2-1 2-0 0-2 1-0
Last 10	10	1.60	0.90	2.50	90%	70%	50%	9.1	7.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	1.10	2.10	80%	65%	35%	9.1	8.1
ANALast season	82	0.82	1.01	1.83	80%	56%	29%	9.6	9.4	0-3 1-1 2-1 0-3 0-0
Last 10	10	0.80	1.50	2.30	80%	80%	60%	10.7	7.7
Home (last 20)	20	1.10	1.40	2.50	90%	75%	55%	10.8	9.1

VGK@VAN

9:00 PM ET

1.81Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -512

54% Over 1.5 · fair -118

27% Over 2.5 · fair +267

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
VGKLast season	82	0.76	0.98	1.73	84%	50%	22%	9.0	7.9	0-1 1-1 1-3 0-0 1-0
Last 10	10	0.50	1.10	1.60	80%	40%	30%	7.0	9.9
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	0.80	1.70	85%	50%	30%	8.9	7.6
VANLast season	82	0.83	1.06	1.89	84%	56%	32%	8.4	9.5	1-4 1-1 2-1 0-1 1-2
Last 10	10	1.20	1.40	2.60	90%	70%	60%	8.6	10.0
Home (last 20)	20	0.75	0.90	1.65	70%	50%	30%	7.8	9.1

UTA@NYR

6:00 PM ET

1.74Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -472

52% Over 1.5 · fair -108

25% Over 2.5 · fair +293

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
UTALast season	82	0.93	0.79	1.72	82%	59%	21%	9.1	8.3	0-1 1-1 0-2 2-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.70	1.00	1.70	100%	70%	0%	7.5	10.0
Away (last 20)	20	0.95	0.85	1.80	85%	60%	30%	8.4	8.6
NYRLast season	82	0.82	0.95	1.77	84%	51%	26%	7.6	9.3	1-0 1-2 0-0 1-2 1-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.60	1.40	70%	50%	20%	7.8	8.3
Home (last 20)	20	0.60	0.95	1.55	85%	45%	20%	6.6	9.8

CGY@SEA

8:00 PM ET

1.58Expected 1P goals

79% Over 0.5 · fair -385

47% Over 1.5 · fair +114

21% Over 2.5 · fair +373

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
CGYLast season	82	0.72	0.85	1.57	78%	43%	26%	9.2	9.2	0-0 0-0 2-0 0-0 0-1
Last 10	10	0.60	0.80	1.40	60%	40%	20%	7.6	11.0
Away (last 20)	20	0.45	1.10	1.55	75%	45%	25%	8.8	10.9
SEALast season	82	0.70	0.89	1.59	73%	56%	23%	8.5	9.8	0-0 0-0 0-2 0-0 0-1
Last 10	10	0.50	0.80	1.30	60%	50%	20%	8.7	10.4
Home (last 20)	20	0.70	1.10	1.80	80%	70%	25%	8.7	10.3

WPG@DET

1:00 PM ET

1.47Expected 1P goals

77% Over 0.5 · fair -335

43% Over 1.5 · fair +132

18% Over 2.5 · fair +445

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
WPGLast season	82	0.79	0.78	1.57	79%	54%	16%	8.4	9.0	1-2 0-1 0-0 1-3 1-1
Last 10	10	0.50	1.30	1.80	90%	60%	20%	8.4	10.3
Away (last 20)	20	0.60	0.75	1.35	85%	40%	10%	8.6	10.0
DETLast season	82	0.60	0.77	1.37	78%	43%	12%	8.1	9.0	0-1 1-1 1-1 1-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.60	1.00	1.60	100%	50%	10%	7.8	8.3
Home (last 20)	20	0.65	0.80	1.45	85%	45%	10%	8.1	8.5

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 20 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.