1st period totals

Wednesday, April 29, 2026 · 3 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

MTL@TBL

1st period: MTL 1, TBL 0

1.83Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -523

55% Over 1.5 · fair -120

28% Over 2.5 · fair +261

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
MTLThis season	82	0.91	0.85	1.77	85%	57%	24%	8.6	8.7	0-0 1-1 1-1 1-0 0-2
Last 10	10	0.40	0.80	1.20	70%	40%	10%	8.1	7.9
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	0.80	1.65	85%	50%	20%	8.0	9.3
TBLThis season	82	0.96	0.93	1.89	83%	54%	28%	9.0	9.1	0-0 1-1 1-1 0-1 0-1
Last 10	10	0.40	0.70	1.10	60%	40%	10%	7.0	8.2
Home (last 20)	20	0.55	1.15	1.70	80%	60%	20%	8.2	10.4

PIT@PHI

1st period: PIT 0, PHI 0

1.79Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -501

53% Over 1.5 · fair -115

27% Over 2.5 · fair +274

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
PITThis season	82	1.13	0.83	1.96	90%	59%	33%	9.1	8.6	1-0 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	1.00	0.20	1.20	60%	20%	20%	7.4	8.3
Away (last 20)	20	1.15	0.75	1.90	85%	50%	35%	9.4	9.5
PHIThis season	82	0.79	0.83	1.62	84%	52%	18%	7.7	7.7	0-1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.80	1.60	80%	50%	20%	8.8	7.6
Home (last 20)	20	0.45	0.85	1.30	80%	35%	10%	6.9	7.6

UTA@VGK

1st period: UTA 1, VGK 1

1.73Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -462

51% Over 1.5 · fair -106

25% Over 2.5 · fair +301

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
UTAThis season	82	0.93	0.79	1.72	82%	59%	21%	9.1	8.3	0-2 2-0 1-1 1-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.80	1.10	1.90	100%	70%	10%	8.2	9.7
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	0.80	1.70	80%	55%	30%	8.3	8.8
VGKThis season	82	0.76	0.98	1.73	84%	50%	22%	9.0	7.9	2-0 0-2 1-1 0-1 0-0
Last 10	10	0.60	0.50	1.10	70%	40%	0%	9.5	7.8
Home (last 20)	20	0.45	0.80	1.25	75%	25%	15%	9.4	7.5

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 20 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.