1st period totals

Thursday, April 23, 2026 · 3 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

CAR@OTT

1st period: CAR 1, OTT 0

1.90Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -570

57% Over 1.5 · fair -131

30% Over 2.5 · fair +237

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
CARThis season	82	1.18	0.78	1.96	90%	57%	29%	10.6	7.5	1-0 0-0 1-0 2-0 2-0
Last 10	10	1.60	0.70	2.30	90%	70%	40%	10.1	7.4
Away (last 20)	20	1.30	0.50	1.80	85%	60%	30%	9.8	8.4
OTTThis season	82	0.95	0.89	1.84	82%	60%	29%	9.3	7.6	0-1 0-0 1-0 0-2 1-0
Last 10	10	0.60	0.70	1.30	70%	40%	10%	8.7	8.6
Home (last 20)	20	0.80	0.75	1.55	75%	55%	20%	9.7	7.6

BUF@BOS

1st period: BUF 0, BOS 0

1.90Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -566

57% Over 1.5 · fair -130

30% Over 2.5 · fair +239

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
BUFThis season	82	1.02	0.94	1.96	91%	57%	28%	9.0	9.1	0-0 0-1 1-1 1-1 1-0
Last 10	10	1.00	0.80	1.80	80%	50%	30%	10.0	7.8
Away (last 20)	20	1.35	0.75	2.10	80%	60%	35%	9.0	9.7
BOSThis season	82	0.99	0.84	1.83	83%	61%	26%	9.1	8.8	0-0 1-0 4-0 1-1 0-0
Last 10	10	1.20	0.60	1.80	70%	50%	30%	7.3	8.9
Home (last 20)	20	1.35	0.30	1.65	80%	50%	25%	9.5	8.3

COL@LAK

1st period: COL 1, LAK 0

1.70Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -445

51% Over 1.5 · fair -102

24% Over 2.5 · fair +314

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	O0.5	O1.5	O2.5	1P SF	1P SA	Last 5 (for-against)
COLThis season	82	1.17	0.74	1.91	80%	59%	27%	11.7	8.8	0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.50	0.20	0.70	40%	30%	0%	12.4	7.0
Away (last 20)	20	1.20	0.60	1.80	70%	60%	25%	10.6	8.3
LAKThis season	82	0.73	0.74	1.48	78%	41%	18%	9.1	8.3	0-0 0-0 0-0 1-1 2-0
Last 10	10	0.70	0.60	1.30	70%	50%	10%	8.6	8.8
Home (last 20)	20	0.80	0.95	1.75	85%	45%	30%	9.6	8.1

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 20 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.