1st period totals

Monday, April 6, 2026 · 4 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

25%1P over 2.5

TBL@BUF

1st period: TBL 1, BUF 2

1.95Expected 1P goals

86% Over 0.5 · fair -606

58% Over 1.5 · fair -139

31% Over 2.5 · fair +222

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
TBLThis season	76	1.01	0.95	1.96	86%	55%	29%	9.1	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-2 1-1 0-0 0-2
Last 10	10	0.50	1.20	1.70	80%	60%	30%	8.3	9.5
Away (last 20)	20	1.15	1.10	2.25	90%	55%	40%	9.1	8.1
BUFThis season	77	1.00	0.95	1.95	91%	56%	27%	9.0	9.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-3 0-0 1-0 0-1 0-3
Last 10	10	0.70	1.10	1.80	80%	40%	30%	9.8	9.3
Home (last 20)	20	1.00	0.85	1.85	95%	55%	30%	9.4	8.6

CHI@SJS

1st period: CHI 1, SJS 0

1.85Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -537

55% Over 1.5 · fair -123

28% Over 2.5 · fair +253

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CHIThis season	77	0.74	0.87	1.61	75%	53%	22%	8.2	9.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-0 1-0 2-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.70	1.50	70%	50%	20%	9.5	11.0
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	0.80	1.65	80%	60%	20%	8.3	10.1
SJSThis season	75	0.99	1.11	2.09	81%	64%	33%	8.7	9.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-3 2-0 1-1 3-2 1-1
Last 10	10	0.90	1.50	2.40	70%	70%	40%	7.6	8.0
Home (last 20)	20	0.80	1.10	1.90	80%	55%	30%	10.3	9.1

NSH@LAK

1st period: NSH 0, LAK 1

1.67Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -432

50% Over 1.5 · fair +101

24% Over 2.5 · fair +325

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NSHThis season	76	0.84	1.03	1.87	86%	57%	25%	8.9	10.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-0 2-0 0-0 0-1 0-1
Last 10	10	1.30	0.50	1.80	80%	50%	20%	9.2	9.5
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	0.95	1.85	85%	60%	25%	9.5	10.5
LAKThis season	76	0.70	0.78	1.47	78%	41%	18%	9.1	8.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 0-2 0-0 1-3 1-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.90	1.70	90%	40%	20%	9.2	9.8
Home (last 20)	20	0.65	0.95	1.60	75%	45%	25%	9.3	8.1

SEA@WPG

1st period: SEA 1, WPG 1

1.58Expected 1P goals

79% Over 0.5 · fair -387

47% Over 1.5 · fair +113

21% Over 2.5 · fair +371

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
SEAThis season	75	0.72	0.91	1.63	75%	57%	24%	8.4	9.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 2-1 0-2 1-0 2-1
Last 10	10	1.00	1.10	2.10	80%	70%	40%	8.0	10.2
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	0.95	1.85	85%	65%	25%	8.3	10.3
WPGThis season	76	0.80	0.74	1.54	79%	53%	14%	8.4	8.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-2 0-1 1-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.60	1.00	1.60	100%	50%	10%	8.3	9.5
Home (last 20)	20	0.85	0.40	1.25	70%	45%	5%	7.7	7.4

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.