1st period totals

Sunday, March 29, 2026 · 6 games

1.75League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

53%1P over 1.5

24%1P over 2.5

NSH@TBL

1st period: NSH 0, TBL 0

1.94Expected 1P goals

86% Over 0.5 · fair -595

58% Over 1.5 · fair -136

31% Over 2.5 · fair +226

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NSHThis season	73	0.81	1.07	1.88	86%	56%	25%	8.7	10.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-1 5-1 0-0 1-0
Last 10	10	0.90	0.90	1.80	90%	50%	10%	7.1	12.2
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	1.20	2.10	90%	65%	30%	8.7	11.1
TBLThis season	72	1.04	0.96	2.00	88%	56%	29%	9.2	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 1-2 0-2 1-2 0-1
Last 10	10	0.60	1.10	1.70	90%	60%	20%	8.7	8.8
Home (last 20)	20	0.60	1.10	1.70	80%	60%	20%	8.6	10.2

MTL@CAR

1st period: MTL 0, CAR 1

1.88Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -552

56% Over 1.5 · fair -127

29% Over 2.5 · fair +245

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
MTLThis season	72	1.00	0.86	1.86	88%	61%	26%	8.6	8.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-1 1-2 1-2 0-0
Last 10	10	0.90	1.00	1.90	90%	70%	30%	11.3	9.5
Away (last 20)	20	0.95	1.00	1.95	85%	55%	35%	7.6	9.6
CARThis season	72	1.10	0.79	1.89	89%	54%	28%	10.7	7.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 2-1 1-0 0-1 1-0
Last 10	10	0.90	0.60	1.50	100%	40%	10%	11.0	6.9
Home (last 20)	20	1.20	0.70	1.90	100%	50%	15%	10.7	6.6

FLA@NYR

1st period: FLA 0, NYR 0

1.78Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -492

53% Over 1.5 · fair -113

26% Over 2.5 · fair +279

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
FLAThis season	72	0.83	0.90	1.74	82%	46%	28%	9.1	9.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 2-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.60	1.40	60%	40%	20%	7.1	10.6
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	1.05	1.95	85%	60%	30%	8.7	8.1
NYRThis season	73	0.82	1.00	1.82	86%	52%	26%	7.7	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-2 0-1 0-1 1-2
Last 10	10	0.70	1.00	1.70	100%	50%	20%	7.3	10.5
Home (last 20)	20	0.50	0.90	1.40	85%	35%	15%	6.8	9.5

BOS@CBJ

1st period: BOS 0, CBJ 3

1.77Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -489

53% Over 1.5 · fair -112

26% Over 2.5 · fair +281

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
BOSThis season	73	0.96	0.82	1.78	84%	60%	23%	9.3	8.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 1-1 1-0 0-0 1-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.30	1.10	70%	40%	0%	9.3	8.7
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	0.80	1.80	85%	55%	25%	8.9	9.2
CBJThis season	73	1.03	0.74	1.77	88%	55%	23%	9.9	8.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-1 0-1 0-1 3-1
Last 10	10	1.00	0.80	1.80	90%	60%	20%	10.7	6.5
Home (last 20)	20	1.70	0.75	2.45	100%	75%	40%	10.7	8.0

CHI@NJD

1st period: CHI 2, NJD 1

1.66Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -423

49% Over 1.5 · fair +103

23% Over 2.5 · fair +333

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CHIThis season	73	0.74	0.90	1.64	77%	55%	22%	8.2	9.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-2 3-1 0-0 0-2
Last 10	10	0.70	1.40	2.10	80%	70%	40%	8.3	11.4
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	0.90	1.75	90%	65%	15%	8.0	10.1
NJDThis season	72	0.76	0.90	1.67	86%	46%	19%	9.8	8.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-0 4-1 0-1 2-1
Last 10	10	1.30	1.00	2.30	100%	60%	40%	9.3	7.3
Home (last 20)	20	0.70	0.85	1.55	80%	60%	10%	9.6	8.3

DAL@PHI

1st period: DAL 0, PHI 0

1.62Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -406

48% Over 1.5 · fair +108

22% Over 2.5 · fair +351

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
DALThis season	73	0.93	0.73	1.66	81%	51%	21%	8.0	7.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-1 1-4 2-1 1-0
Last 10	10	0.90	0.90	1.80	90%	40%	30%	7.1	5.8
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	0.65	1.65	85%	40%	20%	7.5	8.0
PHIThis season	72	0.75	0.83	1.58	83%	50%	18%	7.5	7.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 0-1
Last 10	10	0.70	0.60	1.30	90%	30%	10%	8.2	7.4
Home (last 20)	20	0.65	0.85	1.50	75%	50%	20%	7.9	7.0

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.