1st period totals

Friday, March 27, 2026 · 2 games

1.75League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

53%1P over 1.5

24%1P over 2.5

CHI@NYR

1st period: CHI 1, NYR 1

1.73Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -464

52% Over 1.5 · fair -107

25% Over 2.5 · fair +299

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CHIThis season	72	0.74	0.90	1.64	76%	54%	22%	8.1	9.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 3-1 0-0 0-2 1-0
Last 10	10	0.80	1.40	2.20	80%	70%	50%	7.8	11.2
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	0.85	1.75	90%	65%	15%	8.0	9.7
NYRThis season	72	0.82	1.00	1.82	86%	51%	26%	7.6	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 0-1 0-1 1-2 1-2
Last 10	10	0.90	0.90	1.80	100%	50%	30%	7.0	10.2
Home (last 20)	20	0.55	1.00	1.55	85%	35%	20%	6.6	9.3

DET@BUF

1st period: DET 3, BUF 0

1.63Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -409

48% Over 1.5 · fair +107

22% Over 2.5 · fair +347

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
DETThis season	71	0.56	0.75	1.31	75%	41%	11%	8.2	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1
Last 10	10	0.40	0.60	1.00	70%	10%	10%	8.4	8.7
Away (last 20)	20	0.65	0.65	1.30	80%	40%	10%	8.8	9.8
BUFThis season	72	1.03	0.92	1.94	92%	57%	26%	8.9	9.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 2-2 0-1 0-0 1-0
Last 10	10	0.90	0.60	1.50	80%	40%	20%	9.1	8.0
Home (last 20)	20	1.20	0.70	1.90	95%	60%	30%	9.3	8.6

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.