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1st period totals

Wednesday, March 25, 2026 · 2 games

← Mar 24 Mar 26 →
1.75League 1P goals/game, 2025–26
83%1P over 0.5
53%1P over 1.5
25%1P over 2.5
BOS@BUF
1st period: BOS 1, BUF 1
1.86Expected 1P goals
84% Over 0.5 · fair -542
55% Over 1.5 · fair -124
29% Over 2.5 · fair +251
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
BOSThis season 71 0.940.831.77 83%59%24% 9.38.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-1 2-0
Last 10 10 0.600.200.80 60%20%0% 9.08.4
Away (last 20) 20 0.950.801.75 85%50%25% 8.99.4
BUFThis season 71 1.030.921.94 92%56%27% 8.99.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-2 0-1 0-0 1-0 1-1
Last 10 10 0.900.601.50 80%40%20% 9.17.5
Home (last 20) 20 1.150.701.85 95%55%30% 9.48.5
NYR@TOR
1st period: NYR 0, TOR 2
1.82Expected 1P goals
84% Over 0.5 · fair -516
54% Over 1.5 · fair -119
27% Over 2.5 · fair +265
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
NYRThis season 71 0.830.991.82 86%51%27% 7.59.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-1 1-2 1-2 0-1
Last 10 10 1.100.902.00 100%50%40% 6.49.8
Away (last 20) 20 1.151.102.25 90%70%40% 7.29.6
TORThis season 72 0.830.991.82 85%61%22% 7.910.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-1 1-0 0-2 0-0
Last 10 10 0.501.401.90 90%60%20% 7.510.8
Home (last 20) 20 1.001.352.35 100%80%35% 7.611.8

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total
Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5
Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals
Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price
The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.