1st period totals

Thursday, February 5, 2026 · 7 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

55%1P over 1.5

24%1P over 2.5

PIT@BUF

1st period: PIT 2, BUF 1

1.96Expected 1P goals

86% Over 0.5 · fair -612

58% Over 1.5 · fair -140

31% Over 2.5 · fair +219

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
PITThis season	55	1.11	0.78	1.89	91%	60%	31%	9.3	8.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 1-0 2-0 1-1 0-0
Last 10	10	1.50	0.50	2.00	90%	70%	40%	9.5	8.4
Away (last 20)	20	1.05	0.80	1.85	90%	55%	30%	9.2	8.2
BUFThis season	56	1.02	1.02	2.04	95%	61%	27%	8.7	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 2-2 0-1 2-0 3-2
Last 10	10	1.50	0.90	2.40	90%	80%	40%	8.3	10.1
Home (last 20)	20	1.20	0.85	2.05	95%	60%	30%	9.2	8.7

FLA@TBL

1st period: FLA 0, TBL 2

1.89Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -564

56% Over 1.5 · fair -130

29% Over 2.5 · fair +240

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
FLAThis season	56	0.82	0.95	1.77	84%	45%	29%	9.1	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 2-2 1-0 2-3 0-1
Last 10	10	0.90	0.90	1.80	70%	40%	40%	9.5	7.3
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	1.05	2.05	85%	55%	35%	8.0	9.4
TBLThis season	54	1.13	0.89	2.02	89%	56%	30%	9.4	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-3 1-0 0-0 2-4
Last 10	10	0.70	1.30	2.00	80%	60%	20%	9.0	10.1
Home (last 20)	20	1.05	0.85	1.90	85%	50%	25%	9.3	9.0

CAR@NYR

1st period: CAR 1, NYR 0

1.87Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -546

56% Over 1.5 · fair -125

29% Over 2.5 · fair +248

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CARThis season	56	1.09	0.82	1.91	88%	55%	29%	10.5	7.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-0 2-0 1-0 3-0
Last 10	10	1.10	0.30	1.40	80%	50%	10%	9.2	8.3
Away (last 20)	20	0.90	0.75	1.65	75%	55%	25%	10.5	9.7
NYRThis season	56	0.82	1.00	1.82	82%	52%	27%	7.9	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 0-0 1-2 2-1 1-3
Last 10	10	1.20	1.60	2.80	90%	90%	60%	8.0	9.9
Home (last 20)	20	0.55	1.05	1.60	75%	40%	25%	8.0	8.8

OTT@PHI

1st period: OTT 0, PHI 0

1.85Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -539

55% Over 1.5 · fair -124

28% Over 2.5 · fair +252

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
OTTThis season	56	1.02	0.95	1.96	86%	66%	32%	9.1	7.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-1 1-1 0-0 1-0
Last 10	10	0.90	1.00	1.90	90%	70%	30%	9.7	7.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.35	0.75	2.10	75%	65%	45%	9.2	7.1
PHIThis season	55	0.82	0.93	1.75	87%	56%	22%	7.6	8.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-2 0-2 1-2 0-1
Last 10	10	0.80	1.20	2.00	100%	70%	20%	7.6	9.9
Home (last 20)	20	0.85	1.10	1.95	85%	60%	30%	8.0	7.4

NSH@WSH

1st period: NSH 0, WSH 2

1.79Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -500

53% Over 1.5 · fair -115

27% Over 2.5 · fair +274

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NSHThis season	56	0.79	1.16	1.95	86%	57%	30%	9.0	10.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-3 1-2 2-2 1-0 0-1
Last 10	10	1.10	1.50	2.60	100%	60%	50%	8.9	12.7
Away (last 20)	20	0.95	1.50	2.45	100%	65%	55%	8.8	11.1
WSHThis season	58	0.81	0.83	1.64	84%	45%	19%	9.3	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-1 0-2 1-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.50	1.00	1.50	90%	40%	10%	8.4	10.8
Home (last 20)	20	0.70	0.95	1.65	85%	40%	20%	9.1	9.2

LAK@VGK

1st period: LAK 1, VGK 4

1.62Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -405

48% Over 1.5 · fair +108

22% Over 2.5 · fair +351

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
LAKThis season	55	0.62	0.69	1.31	75%	36%	13%	8.8	8.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-3 0-1 2-0 0-2 0-0
Last 10	10	0.70	0.90	1.60	80%	40%	20%	7.8	6.7
Away (last 20)	20	0.50	0.75	1.25	85%	35%	5%	8.3	7.2
VGKThis season	56	0.86	1.07	1.93	89%	61%	23%	9.0	8.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-1 0-2 0-1 1-0
Last 10	10	0.30	1.00	1.30	90%	30%	10%	8.2	7.8
Home (last 20)	20	0.75	1.25	2.00	90%	55%	25%	9.8	7.7

NYI@NJD

1st period: NYI 0, NJD 0

1.61Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -401

48% Over 1.5 · fair +109

22% Over 2.5 · fair +356

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NYIThis season	57	0.84	0.74	1.58	79%	51%	21%	9.1	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 1-0 2-2 0-0 2-1
Last 10	10	1.00	0.80	1.80	80%	50%	40%	10.0	8.0
Away (last 20)	20	0.65	0.60	1.25	75%	35%	15%	8.4	9.3
NJDThis season	56	0.71	0.93	1.64	88%	45%	18%	9.9	8.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-1 0-1 1-1 1-0
Last 10	10	0.50	0.40	0.90	60%	30%	0%	8.3	5.8
Home (last 20)	20	0.85	0.90	1.75	85%	55%	20%	9.3	8.6

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.