1st period totals

Tuesday, February 3, 2026 · 7 games

1.76League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

24%1P over 2.5

BUF@TBL

1st period: BUF 1, TBL 1

2.03Expected 1P goals

87% Over 0.5 · fair -660

60% Over 1.5 · fair -151

33% Over 2.5 · fair +202

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
BUFThis season	55	1.02	1.02	2.04	95%	60%	27%	8.7	9.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-2 0-1 2-0 3-2 0-0
Last 10	10	1.60	1.00	2.60	90%	80%	50%	8.6	9.5
Away (last 20)	20	1.05	1.15	2.20	95%	65%	35%	8.5	9.6
TBLThis season	53	1.13	0.89	2.02	89%	55%	30%	9.3	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-3 1-0 0-0 2-4 0-1
Last 10	10	0.70	1.20	1.90	80%	50%	20%	8.3	9.7
Home (last 20)	20	1.00	0.80	1.80	80%	45%	25%	9.2	8.8

OTT@CAR

1st period: OTT 1, CAR 1

1.94Expected 1P goals

86% Over 0.5 · fair -593

58% Over 1.5 · fair -136

31% Over 2.5 · fair +227

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
OTTThis season	55	1.02	0.95	1.96	85%	65%	33%	9.1	7.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-1 0-0 1-0 0-3
Last 10	10	1.20	0.90	2.10	90%	70%	40%	10.0	6.9
Away (last 20)	20	1.40	0.70	2.10	75%	65%	45%	8.9	6.9
CARThis season	55	1.09	0.82	1.91	87%	55%	29%	10.5	7.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 2-0 1-0 3-0 1-1
Last 10	10	1.00	0.30	1.30	80%	40%	10%	9.5	8.0
Home (last 20)	20	1.15	0.70	1.85	95%	50%	25%	10.6	5.5

TOR@EDM

1st period: TOR 0, EDM 0

1.87Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -546

56% Over 1.5 · fair -125

29% Over 2.5 · fair +248

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
TORThis season	56	0.93	0.91	1.84	86%	61%	23%	8.1	9.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-0 1-1 2-3 0-2
Last 10	10	0.90	1.20	2.10	80%	70%	30%	8.0	10.4
Away (last 20)	20	0.75	0.65	1.40	70%	45%	20%	8.2	9.4
EDMThis season	56	0.95	0.95	1.89	82%	57%	29%	9.6	8.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-2 0-3 1-1 1-1 0-3
Last 10	10	0.80	1.10	1.90	70%	70%	40%	10.6	8.4
Home (last 20)	20	1.15	1.25	2.40	90%	70%	50%	10.6	8.4

CBJ@NJD

1st period: CBJ 0, NJD 0

1.73Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -461

51% Over 1.5 · fair -106

25% Over 2.5 · fair +301

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CBJThis season	54	1.02	0.76	1.78	87%	52%	26%	9.7	9.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 1-1 2-1 4-2 1-0
Last 10	10	1.60	1.00	2.60	100%	80%	50%	9.6	8.0
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	0.90	1.75	90%	60%	25%	9.0	9.6
NJDThis season	55	0.73	0.95	1.67	89%	45%	18%	10.0	8.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-1 1-1 1-0 1-0
Last 10	10	0.60	0.40	1.00	70%	30%	0%	8.5	6.1
Home (last 20)	20	0.90	0.95	1.85	90%	60%	20%	9.4	8.6

PIT@NYI

1st period: PIT 1, NYI 2

1.71Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -454

51% Over 1.5 · fair -104

25% Over 2.5 · fair +307

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
PITThis season	54	1.11	0.76	1.87	91%	59%	30%	9.3	8.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 2-0 1-1 0-0 3-0
Last 10	10	1.40	0.30	1.70	80%	60%	30%	9.2	8.4
Away (last 20)	20	1.00	0.75	1.75	90%	50%	25%	8.9	8.4
NYIThis season	56	0.82	0.73	1.55	79%	50%	20%	9.0	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 2-2 0-0 2-1 1-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.70	1.50	70%	40%	30%	10.2	8.1
Home (last 20)	20	0.85	0.80	1.65	75%	55%	30%	10.0	8.7

WSH@PHI

1st period: WSH 0, PHI 1

1.70Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -450

51% Over 1.5 · fair -103

24% Over 2.5 · fair +310

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
WSHThis season	57	0.82	0.82	1.65	84%	46%	19%	9.3	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-2 1-0 0-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.50	0.90	1.40	80%	40%	10%	7.8	11.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.20	0.70	1.90	95%	60%	20%	9.4	9.7
PHIThis season	54	0.81	0.94	1.76	87%	57%	22%	7.6	8.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 0-2 1-2 0-1 2-0
Last 10	10	0.70	1.40	2.10	100%	80%	20%	7.7	9.4
Home (last 20)	20	0.85	1.15	2.00	85%	65%	30%	8.0	7.1

SEA@ANA

1st period: SEA 0, ANA 0

1.64Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -416

49% Over 1.5 · fair +105

23% Over 2.5 · fair +340

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
SEAThis season	54	0.59	0.87	1.46	72%	52%	19%	8.4	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 0-2
Last 10	10	0.80	1.10	1.90	90%	80%	20%	8.2	8.3
Away (last 20)	20	0.55	0.75	1.30	60%	45%	15%	8.6	10.3
ANAThis season	55	0.78	1.04	1.82	84%	56%	27%	9.2	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-0 1-1 0-2 2-0
Last 10	10	0.60	0.50	1.10	70%	40%	0%	7.8	8.1
Home (last 20)	20	0.80	1.05	1.85	90%	50%	25%	8.8	7.9

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.