1st period totals

Friday, January 16, 2026 · 5 games

1.74League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

23%1P over 2.5

TBL@STL

1st period: TBL 0, STL 2

1.88Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -557

56% Over 1.5 · fair -128

29% Over 2.5 · fair +243

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
TBLThis season	45	1.20	0.78	1.98	89%	53%	31%	9.5	8.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-0 2-1 1-0 3-1
Last 10	10	1.30	0.50	1.80	80%	50%	40%	8.5	7.5
Away (last 20)	20	1.35	0.75	2.10	90%	60%	35%	9.9	8.5
STLThis season	47	0.85	0.94	1.79	85%	60%	26%	7.6	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-1 0-1 1-1 1-0
Last 10	10	0.80	1.20	2.00	90%	70%	30%	7.5	9.3
Home (last 20)	20	1.00	0.70	1.70	80%	60%	30%	8.4	8.4

FLA@CAR

1st period: FLA 0, CAR 1

1.88Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -554

56% Over 1.5 · fair -127

29% Over 2.5 · fair +244

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
FLAThis season	45	0.82	0.96	1.78	87%	47%	27%	9.1	9.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 1-1 0-2 0-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.70	1.30	2.00	90%	70%	30%	8.0	8.0
Away (last 19)	19	0.89	0.95	1.84	89%	47%	26%	7.9	9.8
CARThis season	47	1.06	0.91	1.98	87%	55%	32%	10.7	7.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-1 1-1 0-1 3-1
Last 10	10	1.00	1.10	2.10	90%	60%	30%	10.8	8.0
Home (last 20)	20	1.10	0.95	2.05	95%	55%	35%	10.6	6.0

NSH@COL

1st period: NSH 2, COL 2

1.86Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -541

55% Over 1.5 · fair -124

28% Over 2.5 · fair +251

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NSHThis season	46	0.72	1.09	1.80	83%	57%	26%	9.0	10.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0-1
Last 10	10	0.90	1.30	2.20	80%	70%	40%	9.4	10.5
Away (last 20)	20	0.65	1.50	2.15	90%	65%	45%	8.6	9.8
COLThis season	45	1.20	0.71	1.91	89%	60%	27%	11.5	9.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 2-0 2-0 0-1 1-1
Last 10	10	1.20	0.50	1.70	90%	50%	20%	12.1	9.9
Home (last 20)	20	1.65	0.75	2.40	95%	85%	35%	12.3	9.2

SJS@DET

1st period: SJS 1, DET 1

1.71Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -453

51% Over 1.5 · fair -104

25% Over 2.5 · fair +307

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
SJSThis season	46	0.96	1.15	2.11	83%	65%	33%	8.5	10.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-2 0-2 0-0 1-0
Last 10	10	0.70	1.50	2.20	80%	60%	50%	8.7	10.8
Away (last 20)	20	0.95	1.15	2.10	80%	65%	35%	7.2	10.0
DETThis season	48	0.63	0.69	1.31	73%	42%	13%	8.0	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 3-0
Last 10	10	0.90	0.40	1.30	70%	40%	20%	8.1	9.9
Home (last 20)	20	0.55	0.75	1.30	85%	45%	0%	8.2	9.3

ANA@LAK

1st period: ANA 0, LAK 1

1.58Expected 1P goals

79% Over 0.5 · fair -384

47% Over 1.5 · fair +114

21% Over 2.5 · fair +375

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
ANAThis season	46	0.80	1.13	1.93	85%	59%	33%	9.6	9.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-2 1-2
Last 10	10	0.40	1.30	1.70	80%	40%	40%	8.6	9.8
Away (last 20)	20	0.60	1.15	1.75	80%	55%	30%	9.0	10.9
LAKThis season	46	0.59	0.63	1.22	72%	35%	11%	9.0	8.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-1 1-1 0-2 0-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.70	1.50	70%	50%	20%	9.0	6.8
Home (last 20)	20	0.60	0.45	1.05	55%	25%	15%	9.5	8.3

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.