1st period totals

Wednesday, January 14, 2026 · 4 games

1.74League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

84%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

23%1P over 2.5

PHI@BUF

1st period: PHI 0, BUF 2

1.80Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -502

54% Over 1.5 · fair -115

27% Over 2.5 · fair +273

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
PHIThis season	44	0.84	0.84	1.68	84%	52%	23%	7.6	7.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-2 0-0 2-1 3-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.70	1.50	70%	40%	30%	8.4	6.7
Away (last 20)	20	0.85	0.80	1.65	90%	50%	20%	7.3	8.8
BUFThis season	44	0.86	1.05	1.91	95%	55%	23%	8.8	9.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 1-0 1-0 2-0 1-3
Last 10	10	0.80	1.10	1.90	100%	50%	30%	9.8	10.9
Home (last 20)	20	1.05	0.80	1.85	90%	50%	25%	9.2	8.8

OTT@NYR

1st period: OTT 4, NYR 0

1.78Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -490

53% Over 1.5 · fair -113

26% Over 2.5 · fair +281

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
OTTThis season	45	0.98	0.96	1.93	84%	64%	31%	8.9	7.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 1-1 0-2 1-2 0-3
Last 10	10	0.70	1.50	2.20	100%	90%	30%	9.6	9.2
Away (last 20)	20	1.05	0.85	1.90	75%	60%	35%	7.7	6.7
NYRThis season	47	0.77	0.85	1.62	81%	45%	19%	7.9	9.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 1-3 0-1 0-0 2-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.70	1.50	80%	50%	10%	6.5	9.9
Home (last 20)	20	0.50	0.85	1.35	70%	35%	15%	8.2	9.1

VGK@LAK

1st period: VGK 0, LAK 0

1.66Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -424

49% Over 1.5 · fair +103

23% Over 2.5 · fair +332

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
VGKThis season	44	1.00	1.07	2.07	91%	68%	25%	9.2	8.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 1-1 1-2 0-1 1-1
Last 10	10	1.40	1.20	2.60	100%	80%	40%	9.1	6.5
Away (last 20)	20	0.95	1.10	2.05	95%	70%	25%	8.5	8.0
LAKThis season	45	0.60	0.64	1.24	73%	36%	11%	9.0	8.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-1 0-2 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.70	1.50	70%	50%	20%	9.4	7.2
Home (last 20)	20	0.60	0.55	1.15	60%	30%	15%	9.5	8.7

SEA@NJD

1st period: SEA 1, NJD 1

1.58Expected 1P goals

79% Over 0.5 · fair -387

47% Over 1.5 · fair +113

21% Over 2.5 · fair +371

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
SEAThis season	44	0.55	0.82	1.36	68%	45%	18%	8.4	9.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 1-1 0-2 1-1 0-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.80	1.60	80%	60%	20%	9.5	10.4
Away (last 20)	20	0.40	0.75	1.15	55%	35%	15%	8.5	10.8
NJDThis season	46	0.76	1.04	1.80	93%	48%	22%	10.3	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-1 0-1 0-3 1-1
Last 10	10	0.60	0.90	1.50	100%	40%	10%	10.9	9.8
Home (last 20)	20	0.95	0.95	1.90	90%	55%	25%	9.3	9.2

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.