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1st period totals

Tuesday, December 30, 2025 · 5 games

← Dec 29 Dec 31 →
1.72League 1P goals/game, 2025–26
83%1P over 0.5
53%1P over 1.5
23%1P over 2.5
CAR@PIT
1st period: CAR 0, PIT 3
1.91Expected 1P goals
85% Over 0.5 · fair -573
57% Over 1.5 · fair -131
30% Over 2.5 · fair +236
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
CARThis season 38 1.080.871.95 87%55%32% 10.87.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-1 1-0 3-0 1-0
Last 10 10 0.900.601.50 90%40%20% 11.55.7
Away (last 18) 18 1.060.721.78 78%56%22% 10.99.2
PITThis season 37 1.000.861.86 92%59%27% 9.48.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 4-0 1-2 2-1 0-2 0-1
Last 10 10 1.201.002.20 100%70%40% 10.08.0
Home (last 18) 18 1.170.942.11 94%72%39% 9.47.9
NJD@TOR
1st period: NJD 0, TOR 1
1.86Expected 1P goals
84% Over 0.5 · fair -539
55% Over 1.5 · fair -124
28% Over 2.5 · fair +252
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
NJDThis season 38 0.791.051.84 92%47%24% 10.48.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-0 1-0 0-1 0-0
Last 10 10 0.701.201.90 90%50%20% 11.48.8
Away (last 19) 19 0.741.111.84 95%47%21% 11.39.4
TORThis season 38 0.970.891.87 89%63%21% 8.09.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 2-1 2-1 0-1 1-0
Last 10 10 0.800.801.60 90%50%20% 7.49.9
Home (last 20) 20 1.050.801.85 90%60%20% 8.09.7
MTL@FLA
1st period: MTL 0, FLA 0
1.79Expected 1P goals
83% Over 0.5 · fair -499
53% Over 1.5 · fair -115
27% Over 2.5 · fair +275
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
MTLThis season 38 0.970.821.79 87%61%24% 8.38.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-2 1-2 2-0 1-1
Last 10 10 1.001.102.10 80%70%40% 8.39.7
Away (last 18) 18 1.000.781.78 83%56%22% 8.38.9
FLAThis season 38 0.870.921.79 87%42%29% 9.29.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-2 1-2 0-1 0-1 0-1
Last 10 10 0.701.101.80 90%50%30% 7.710.1
Home (last 20) 20 0.751.001.75 90%40%25% 9.49.5
PHI@VAN
1st period: PHI 1, VAN 1
1.72Expected 1P goals
82% Over 0.5 · fair -458
51% Over 1.5 · fair -105
25% Over 2.5 · fair +304
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
PHIThis season 37 0.810.811.62 84%51%19% 7.67.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-1 1-1
Last 10 10 0.800.701.50 80%60%10% 9.76.2
Away (last 17) 17 0.760.761.53 88%47%18% 7.58.8
VANThis season 38 0.870.951.82 87%55%26% 8.39.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 1-2 0-0 1-1 3-0
Last 10 10 1.000.801.80 90%60%30% 7.79.6
Home (last 16) 16 0.691.061.75 88%38%31% 10.18.7
NYI@CHI
1st period: NYI 2, CHI 0
1.53Expected 1P goals
78% Over 0.5 · fair -362
45% Over 1.5 · fair +121
20% Over 2.5 · fair +402
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
NYIThis season 39 0.820.791.62 85%54%15% 8.89.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-0 0-1 0-1 0-3
Last 10 10 0.900.901.80 100%50%30% 9.310.9
Away (last 18) 18 0.830.611.44 83%44%11% 7.99.9
CHIThis season 38 0.680.761.45 68%45%21% 8.79.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-4 1-1 0-1 0-1 1-1
Last 10 10 0.501.301.80 90%60%20% 7.49.8
Home (last 18) 18 0.610.611.22 61%33%17% 9.28.4

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total
Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5
Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals
Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price
The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.