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1st period totals

Sunday, December 28, 2025 · 5 games

1.72League 1P goals/game, 2025–26
83%1P over 0.5
53%1P over 1.5
22%1P over 2.5
MTL@TBL
1st period: MTL 0, TBL 0
1.95Expected 1P goals
86% Over 0.5 · fair -600
58% Over 1.5 · fair -138
31% Over 2.5 · fair +224
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
MTLThis season 37 1.000.841.84 89%62%24% 8.38.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 1-2 2-0 1-1 1-1
Last 10 10 1.201.202.40 90%80%50% 8.39.8
Away (last 17) 17 1.060.821.88 88%59%24% 8.29.3
TBLThis season 37 1.220.842.05 92%57%30% 9.78.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 2-0 0-3 1-0 0-2
Last 10 10 1.201.002.20 90%70%40% 10.98.1
Home (last 19) 19 1.110.952.05 89%53%32% 9.88.6
TOR@DET
1st period: TOR 0, DET 0
1.61Expected 1P goals
80% Over 0.5 · fair -402
48% Over 1.5 · fair +109
22% Over 2.5 · fair +354
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
TORThis season 37 1.000.921.92 92%65%22% 8.09.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 2-1 0-1 1-0 0-2
Last 10 10 0.800.801.60 90%50%20% 7.310.0
Away (last 15) 15 1.001.072.07 93%73%27% 7.79.7
DETThis season 39 0.560.741.31 74%41%10% 7.98.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-0 0-1 1-0 0-0
Last 10 10 0.800.301.10 90%20%0% 8.38.9
Home (last 20) 20 0.450.901.35 80%45%5% 8.88.8
PIT@CHI
1st period: PIT 4, CHI 0
1.59Expected 1P goals
80% Over 0.5 · fair -391
47% Over 1.5 · fair +112
21% Over 2.5 · fair +366
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
PITThis season 36 0.920.891.81 92%58%25% 9.48.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 2-1 0-2 0-1 1-2
Last 10 10 0.901.001.90 100%60%30% 9.78.0
Away (last 18) 18 0.670.831.50 89%44%11% 9.38.5
CHIThis season 37 0.700.681.38 68%43%19% 8.79.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-1 0-1 1-1 2-0
Last 10 10 0.500.901.40 80%50%10% 7.89.5
Home (last 17) 17 0.650.411.06 59%29%12% 9.48.4
NYI@CBJ
1st period: NYI 1, CBJ 1
1.52Expected 1P goals
78% Over 0.5 · fair -359
45% Over 1.5 · fair +122
20% Over 2.5 · fair +407
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
NYIThis season 38 0.820.791.61 84%53%16% 8.89.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-1 0-1 0-3 1-0
Last 10 10 0.800.801.60 90%40%30% 8.810.3
Away (last 17) 17 0.820.591.41 82%41%12% 7.89.6
CBJThis season 36 0.780.671.44 81%42%17% 9.49.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 1-2 1-0 1-0 1-0
Last 10 10 1.000.701.70 90%40%20% 8.29.0
Home (last 16) 16 0.750.561.31 75%31%13% 9.18.6
PHI@SEA
1st period: PHI 0, SEA 0
1.46Expected 1P goals
77% Over 0.5 · fair -331
43% Over 1.5 · fair +133
18% Over 2.5 · fair +451
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
PHIThis season 36 0.830.831.67 86%53%19% 7.57.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-0 0-1 1-1 1-1
Last 10 10 0.900.901.80 90%70%20% 8.96.7
Away (last 16) 16 0.810.811.63 94%50%19% 7.38.9
SEAThis season 35 0.460.801.26 63%40%17% 8.19.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1
Last 10 10 0.100.300.40 30%10%0% 8.710.4
Home (last 17) 17 0.530.821.35 76%47%12% 8.19.1

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total
Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5
Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals
Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price
The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.