1st period totals

Sunday, December 14, 2025 · 6 games

1.73League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

53%1P over 1.5

22%1P over 2.5

VAN@NJD

1st period: VAN 2, NJD 0

1.89Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -560

56% Over 1.5 · fair -129

29% Over 2.5 · fair +242

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
VANThis season	31	0.77	1.00	1.77	87%	52%	23%	8.6	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.80	1.10	1.90	100%	60%	20%	8.9	9.3
Away (last 16)	16	0.88	1.00	1.88	88%	69%	19%	7.1	10.4
NJDThis season	32	0.88	1.13	2.00	94%	53%	28%	10.3	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-4 2-2 1-1 0-1
Last 10	10	1.00	1.30	2.30	90%	70%	40%	10.2	8.8
Home (last 16)	16	0.94	1.00	1.94	88%	50%	31%	9.3	8.3

PHI@CAR

1st period: PHI 1, CAR 2

1.85Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -536

55% Over 1.5 · fair -123

28% Over 2.5 · fair +254

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
PHIThis season	30	0.87	0.83	1.70	87%	53%	20%	7.1	8.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 1-1 1-1 1-2 3-1
Last 10	10	1.10	0.90	2.00	100%	70%	20%	7.2	7.1
Away (last 11)	11	0.82	0.73	1.55	91%	45%	18%	6.6	9.6
CARThis season	31	1.03	0.97	2.00	84%	58%	32%	10.4	7.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 0-0 0-1 1-1 3-0
Last 10	10	0.70	0.80	1.50	80%	50%	20%	10.2	5.3
Home (last 16)	16	1.13	1.06	2.19	94%	56%	44%	10.3	6.2

EDM@MTL

1st period: EDM 0, MTL 0

1.76Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -483

53% Over 1.5 · fair -111

26% Over 2.5 · fair +286

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
EDMThis season	32	0.91	0.81	1.72	84%	47%	19%	8.8	8.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-0 0-1 4-0 3-2
Last 10	10	1.40	1.00	2.40	100%	50%	40%	10.0	8.5
Away (last 18)	18	0.89	0.61	1.50	83%	33%	17%	9.0	8.3
MTLThis season	31	1.00	0.81	1.81	90%	58%	23%	8.3	8.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-2 1-0 0-3 2-1 0-0
Last 10	10	1.00	1.10	2.10	90%	60%	40%	8.5	9.2
Home (last 16)	16	0.94	0.94	1.88	94%	63%	31%	8.4	7.9

BUF@SEA

1st period: BUF 1, SEA 0

1.71Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -452

51% Over 1.5 · fair -104

24% Over 2.5 · fair +308

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
BUFThis season	31	0.87	1.10	1.97	94%	58%	23%	8.5	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-0 0-2 1-1 1-3
Last 10	10	0.90	1.20	2.10	100%	70%	30%	8.6	8.7
Away (last 15)	15	0.73	1.33	2.07	100%	67%	20%	7.5	9.3
SEAThis season	29	0.55	0.90	1.45	69%	48%	21%	7.9	9.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-1 2-3
Last 10	10	0.40	0.60	1.00	40%	30%	10%	8.0	9.5
Home (last 15)	15	0.60	0.80	1.40	73%	53%	13%	8.2	9.1

UTA@PIT

1st period: UTA 0, PIT 2

1.68Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -438

50% Over 1.5 · fair -101

24% Over 2.5 · fair +319

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
UTAThis season	33	0.91	0.76	1.67	82%	58%	15%	9.3	8.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-1 0-2 0-1 1-0
Last 10	10	0.80	1.00	1.80	80%	60%	20%	9.0	9.6
Away (last 19)	19	1.05	0.68	1.74	79%	53%	21%	8.7	7.4
PITThis season	30	0.90	0.80	1.70	90%	53%	20%	9.3	8.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-1 1-0 1-0 1-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.50	1.30	90%	30%	10%	8.4	7.6
Home (last 15)	15	1.07	0.93	2.00	93%	67%	33%	9.4	7.8

BOS@MIN

1st period: BOS 0, MIN 1

1.66Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -424

49% Over 1.5 · fair +103

23% Over 2.5 · fair +332

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
BOSThis season	32	0.81	1.03	1.84	81%	66%	22%	9.3	8.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-2 0-1 1-1 2-0 0-2
Last 10	10	0.70	1.00	1.70	80%	60%	10%	8.2	9.8
Away (last 16)	16	0.81	1.25	2.06	81%	69%	31%	8.9	9.0
MINThis season	32	0.84	0.63	1.47	72%	44%	19%	9.3	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-1 0-0 1-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.50	0.30	0.80	50%	20%	10%	9.4	9.3
Home (last 17)	17	0.88	0.71	1.59	76%	47%	24%	10.4	9.1

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.