1st period totals

Thursday, December 4, 2025 · 10 games

1.73League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

22%1P over 2.5

TOR@CAR

1st period: TOR 2, CAR 1

2.02Expected 1P goals

87% Over 0.5 · fair -654

60% Over 1.5 · fair -150

33% Over 2.5 · fair +204

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
TORThis season	26	1.04	0.96	2.00	92%	69%	19%	8.3	9.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 0-2
Last 10	10	1.00	0.80	1.80	80%	70%	20%	8.6	9.0
Away (last 11)	11	1.09	1.09	2.18	91%	82%	27%	8.4	10.0
CARThis season	25	1.08	0.96	2.04	84%	56%	32%	10.2	8.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-0 0-1 1-1 1-2
Last 10	10	0.60	1.10	1.70	80%	50%	30%	9.6	7.2
Home (last 12)	12	1.08	1.08	2.17	92%	50%	42%	9.6	6.3

PIT@TBL

1st period: PIT 1, TBL 0

1.92Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -582

57% Over 1.5 · fair -133

30% Over 2.5 · fair +232

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
PITThis season	25	0.92	0.88	1.80	88%	60%	24%	9.3	8.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-2 1-1 1-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.80	1.60	80%	50%	30%	8.5	6.5
Away (last 13)	13	0.69	0.77	1.46	85%	46%	8%	9.5	8.2
TBLThis season	26	1.27	0.77	2.04	92%	54%	27%	9.1	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-0 1-1 4-0 1-0
Last 10	10	1.50	0.30	1.80	90%	40%	20%	9.2	7.2
Home (last 13)	13	1.38	0.92	2.31	92%	54%	38%	9.7	9.2

STL@BOS

1st period: STL 0, BOS 2

1.78Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -494

53% Over 1.5 · fair -114

26% Over 2.5 · fair +278

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
STLThis season	27	0.93	0.89	1.81	85%	59%	26%	7.7	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 0-0 0-0 2-1 1-0
Last 10	10	1.00	0.70	1.70	80%	60%	30%	7.2	9.1
Away (last 12)	12	1.17	0.58	1.75	100%	50%	17%	7.7	9.8
BOSThis season	28	0.71	1.04	1.75	79%	64%	21%	9.3	8.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 0-0 0-2 1-1 0-1
Last 10	10	0.30	1.10	1.40	70%	60%	10%	8.6	9.1
Home (last 14)	14	0.71	0.86	1.57	79%	57%	14%	9.6	8.1

NYR@OTT

1st period: NYR 2, OTT 1

1.78Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -492

53% Over 1.5 · fair -113

26% Over 2.5 · fair +279

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NYRThis season	28	0.82	0.93	1.75	86%	50%	21%	8.3	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-1 2-0 1-0 0-1
Last 10	10	0.60	0.60	1.20	80%	40%	0%	7.6	9.1
Away (last 16)	16	1.13	0.88	2.00	94%	56%	25%	8.6	9.2
OTTThis season	26	0.96	0.85	1.81	85%	62%	27%	8.3	7.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 0-0 0-0 3-1 0-0
Last 10	10	1.10	0.40	1.50	70%	50%	20%	8.4	6.3
Home (last 11)	11	1.00	0.73	1.73	91%	64%	18%	9.1	7.5

COL@NYI

1st period: COL 0, NYI 2

1.76Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -480

52% Over 1.5 · fair -110

26% Over 2.5 · fair +287

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
COLThis season	26	1.15	0.77	1.92	88%	62%	23%	10.8	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 2-0 1-0 2-0 0-0
Last 10	10	1.20	0.60	1.80	90%	60%	10%	10.0	9.5
Away (last 13)	13	1.00	0.54	1.54	77%	46%	23%	9.8	10.0
NYIThis season	27	0.78	0.81	1.59	81%	56%	11%	8.6	8.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-1 0-2 1-1 0-0
Last 10	10	0.50	0.70	1.20	70%	40%	10%	8.2	6.9
Home (last 14)	14	0.57	1.00	1.57	79%	57%	7%	9.1	7.0

NSH@FLA

1st period: NSH 0, FLA 1

1.71Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -452

51% Over 1.5 · fair -104

25% Over 2.5 · fair +308

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NSHThis season	26	0.62	0.96	1.58	81%	50%	15%	8.7	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-2 0-1 1-0 2-4
Last 10	10	0.60	1.40	2.00	90%	50%	30%	8.9	9.2
Away (last 10)	10	0.20	1.10	1.30	70%	40%	20%	7.9	8.2
FLAThis season	25	0.92	0.92	1.84	84%	40%	32%	9.7	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 2-2 1-0 4-2 1-3
Last 10	10	1.30	1.30	2.60	100%	60%	40%	11.2	11.6
Home (last 15)	15	0.87	0.93	1.80	80%	47%	33%	10.3	8.8

MIN@CGY

1st period: MIN 0, CGY 0

1.62Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -404

48% Over 1.5 · fair +108

22% Over 2.5 · fair +352

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
MINThis season	27	0.93	0.70	1.63	78%	48%	22%	9.2	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 2-1 0-1 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.90	0.30	1.20	60%	40%	20%	9.3	9.9
Away (last 12)	12	0.92	0.67	1.58	75%	50%	17%	7.6	9.5
CGYThis season	28	0.71	0.89	1.61	79%	43%	29%	9.4	8.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-0 2-2 0-4 2-1
Last 10	10	0.70	0.90	1.60	70%	40%	30%	8.6	9.0
Home (last 10)	10	0.80	0.40	1.20	70%	30%	20%	10.5	7.6

SEA@EDM

1st period: SEA 2, EDM 3

1.51Expected 1P goals

78% Over 0.5 · fair -351

44% Over 1.5 · fair +125

19% Over 2.5 · fair +418

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
SEAThis season	24	0.54	0.92	1.46	75%	50%	21%	7.8	9.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.60	0.60	1.20	70%	40%	10%	7.9	9.0
Away (last 12)	12	0.42	0.92	1.33	67%	42%	25%	7.2	9.1
EDMThis season	27	0.74	0.81	1.56	81%	44%	15%	8.5	8.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-0 0-4 3-1 1-0
Last 10	10	1.00	1.20	2.20	100%	40%	40%	8.8	8.4
Home (last 10)	10	0.50	1.20	1.70	80%	70%	10%	8.0	8.2

CHI@LAK

1st period: CHI 0, LAK 0

1.37Expected 1P goals

74% Over 0.5 · fair -292

40% Over 1.5 · fair +152

16% Over 2.5 · fair +532

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CHIThis season	26	0.81	0.62	1.42	65%	42%	23%	8.9	9.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-3 1-0 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.70	0.80	1.50	70%	40%	20%	9.5	8.7
Away (last 12)	12	0.83	1.00	1.83	75%	58%	33%	7.8	11.3
LAKThis season	26	0.58	0.73	1.31	81%	35%	12%	8.7	8.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.40	0.70	1.10	80%	20%	10%	8.0	8.5
Home (last 11)	11	0.55	0.55	1.09	64%	27%	9%	8.8	8.5

DET@CBJ

1st period: DET 0, CBJ 1

1.36Expected 1P goals

74% Over 0.5 · fair -289

39% Over 1.5 · fair +154

16% Over 2.5 · fair +539

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
DETThis season	27	0.48	0.89	1.37	67%	48%	15%	8.0	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 0-0 1-1 0-1 1-3
Last 10	10	0.50	1.00	1.50	80%	50%	10%	7.6	8.8
Away (last 11)	11	0.45	0.73	1.18	45%	36%	27%	6.4	9.3
CBJThis season	26	0.69	0.65	1.35	77%	42%	15%	9.9	9.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 1-1 0-0 0-1 1-0
Last 10	10	0.60	0.50	1.10	70%	30%	10%	8.1	9.0
Home (last 11)	11	0.64	0.45	1.09	64%	36%	9%	9.9	8.8

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.