1st period totals

Friday, November 21, 2025 · 4 games

1.69League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

53%1P over 1.5

20%1P over 2.5

CAR@WPG

1st period: CAR 1, WPG 2

1.92Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -579

57% Over 1.5 · fair -133

30% Over 2.5 · fair +233

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CARThis season	20	1.20	1.00	2.20	85%	60%	35%	10.5	8.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 0-0 1-2 2-2 0-1
Last 10	10	1.00	1.30	2.30	80%	60%	40%	10.1	8.7
Away (last 11)	11	1.09	0.73	1.82	73%	55%	18%	11.2	10.3
WPGThis season	19	1.00	0.63	1.63	79%	58%	16%	8.4	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-0 1-1 3-2 0-2
Last 10	10	1.20	0.90	2.10	90%	80%	20%	8.1	10.1
Home (last 9)	9	1.00	0.56	1.56	78%	56%	22%	9.1	8.4

MIN@PIT

1st period: MIN 3, PIT 0

1.78Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -492

53% Over 1.5 · fair -113

26% Over 2.5 · fair +279

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
MINThis season	21	0.90	0.81	1.71	81%	52%	19%	9.3	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	1.00	0.40	1.40	70%	40%	10%	8.6	8.3
Away (last 8)	8	0.88	1.00	1.88	88%	63%	13%	7.6	9.4
PITThis season	19	1.00	0.84	1.84	89%	63%	21%	10.2	8.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-0 0-0 1-1 0-1 2-0
Last 10	10	1.10	0.80	1.90	90%	70%	20%	10.4	7.7
Home (last 8)	8	1.50	0.88	2.38	100%	88%	38%	10.5	8.8

BOS@LAK

1st period: BOS 0, LAK 0

1.69Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -443

50% Over 1.5 · fair -102

24% Over 2.5 · fair +315

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
BOSThis season	22	0.86	1.05	1.91	82%	68%	27%	9.7	8.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 0-0 1-1 0-2 3-1
Last 10	10	0.90	0.90	1.80	70%	60%	30%	9.7	7.7
Away (last 10)	10	0.90	1.30	2.20	80%	80%	40%	9.2	8.4
LAKThis season	21	0.62	0.86	1.48	86%	43%	14%	9.0	8.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 0-1 1-0 0-2 0-1
Last 10	10	0.60	1.00	1.60	90%	40%	20%	9.7	8.1
Home (last 7)	7	0.71	0.71	1.43	71%	43%	14%	9.9	7.9

CHI@BUF

1st period: CHI 1, BUF 3

1.55Expected 1P goals

79% Over 0.5 · fair -371

46% Over 1.5 · fair +118

20% Over 2.5 · fair +391

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CHIThis season	20	0.85	0.45	1.30	65%	40%	20%	8.5	10.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-0 1-1 1-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.60	0.40	1.00	60%	30%	10%	8.7	10.4
Away (last 10)	10	0.80	0.80	1.60	70%	50%	30%	8.0	11.3
BUFThis season	20	0.75	1.05	1.80	90%	50%	15%	8.1	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 1-0 1-1 2-3 1-0
Last 10	10	0.90	1.20	2.10	90%	60%	20%	7.5	7.6
Home (last 12)	12	0.75	0.92	1.67	83%	42%	17%	8.7	9.3

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.