1st period totals

Wednesday, November 19, 2025 · 4 games

1.68League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

53%1P over 1.5

20%1P over 2.5

CAR@MIN

1st period: CAR 0, MIN 2

1.96Expected 1P goals

86% Over 0.5 · fair -607

58% Over 1.5 · fair -139

31% Over 2.5 · fair +221

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CARThis season	19	1.26	0.95	2.21	84%	58%	37%	10.3	8.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-2 2-2 0-1 2-3
Last 10	10	1.30	1.20	2.50	80%	60%	50%	9.8	9.1
Away (last 10)	10	1.20	0.60	1.80	70%	50%	20%	10.9	10.2
MINThis season	20	0.85	0.85	1.70	80%	50%	20%	9.2	8.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.60	1.40	70%	40%	10%	9.1	7.8
Home (last 12)	12	0.83	0.75	1.58	75%	42%	25%	10.3	8.6

BOS@ANA

1st period: BOS 1, ANA 2

1.80Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -503

54% Over 1.5 · fair -116

27% Over 2.5 · fair +272

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
BOSThis season	21	0.86	1.00	1.86	81%	67%	24%	9.3	8.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-1 0-2 3-1 2-2
Last 10	10	0.80	0.90	1.70	70%	60%	20%	8.3	7.6
Away (last 9)	9	0.89	1.22	2.11	78%	78%	33%	8.2	8.1
ANAThis season	19	0.95	0.79	1.74	79%	63%	21%	10.3	10.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-1 2-0
Last 10	10	1.10	0.60	1.70	80%	70%	20%	8.9	9.0
Home (last 7)	7	1.57	0.71	2.29	100%	71%	43%	8.3	10.0

CGY@BUF

1st period: CGY 2, BUF 0

1.61Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -400

48% Over 1.5 · fair +109

22% Over 2.5 · fair +357

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CGYThis season	21	0.62	0.81	1.43	76%	38%	24%	9.8	8.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0-0
Last 10	10	0.40	0.90	1.30	60%	40%	30%	11.0	8.3
Away (last 12)	12	0.50	1.08	1.58	83%	42%	25%	8.9	8.8
BUFThis season	19	0.79	1.00	1.79	89%	47%	16%	8.3	9.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-1 2-3 1-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.90	1.10	2.00	90%	50%	20%	7.9	7.9
Home (last 11)	11	0.82	0.82	1.64	82%	36%	18%	9.0	9.2

EDM@WSH

1st period: EDM 2, WSH 3

1.30Expected 1P goals

73% Over 0.5 · fair -268

37% Over 1.5 · fair +167

14% Over 2.5 · fair +596

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
EDMThis season	21	0.62	0.62	1.24	76%	43%	5%	8.3	7.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 2-1 0-1 1-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.70	1.50	90%	50%	10%	8.3	8.4
Away (last 13)	13	0.62	0.46	1.08	77%	23%	8%	8.2	7.8
WSHThis season	19	0.58	0.79	1.37	74%	37%	16%	10.0	8.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 0-2 1-1 1-0 1-2
Last 10	10	0.70	1.00	1.70	80%	50%	20%	11.1	9.0
Home (last 10)	10	0.40	0.70	1.10	80%	20%	10%	9.6	7.5

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.