1st period totals

Sunday, November 16, 2025 · 5 games

1.70League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

82%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

21%1P over 2.5

NYI@COL

1st period: NYI 1, COL 0

2.03Expected 1P goals

87% Over 0.5 · fair -660

60% Over 1.5 · fair -151

33% Over 2.5 · fair +202

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NYIThis season	18	0.94	0.94	1.89	89%	67%	17%	8.7	9.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 2-0 0-1 2-0 0-2
Last 10	10	0.90	0.80	1.70	80%	60%	20%	9.0	8.8
Away (last 10)	10	1.00	0.80	1.80	90%	60%	20%	8.0	10.1
COLThis season	18	1.22	0.94	2.17	89%	67%	33%	11.1	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-2 1-1 2-1 2-0 1-1
Last 10	10	1.60	1.00	2.60	100%	90%	40%	10.4	9.8
Home (last 8)	8	1.38	1.25	2.63	100%	75%	38%	11.6	9.8

VAN@TBL

1st period: VAN 0, TBL 1

1.87Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -552

56% Over 1.5 · fair -127

29% Over 2.5 · fair +246

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
VANThis season	19	0.74	0.89	1.63	79%	47%	21%	9.0	9.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-2 2-3 1-2 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.80	1.10	1.90	80%	50%	30%	9.3	8.7
Away (last 10)	10	0.80	1.00	1.80	80%	70%	20%	8.0	9.6
TBLThis season	17	1.12	1.00	2.12	94%	59%	29%	9.1	10.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 3-4 2-1 0-2 1-1
Last 10	10	1.10	1.00	2.10	90%	60%	20%	9.8	9.3
Home (last 8)	8	1.25	1.38	2.63	88%	63%	50%	10.1	10.6

VGK@MIN

1st period: VGK 1, MIN 1

1.78Expected 1P goals

83% Over 0.5 · fair -495

53% Over 1.5 · fair -114

26% Over 2.5 · fair +277

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
VGKThis season	17	0.94	0.94	1.88	88%	71%	18%	9.4	8.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 0-2 0-1 1-1 2-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.80	1.60	90%	60%	10%	10.0	8.0
Away (last 7)	7	0.86	0.86	1.71	86%	71%	14%	8.1	8.9
MINThis season	19	0.84	0.84	1.68	79%	47%	21%	9.1	8.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-0 0-0 2-0 2-3
Last 10	10	0.90	0.70	1.60	70%	40%	20%	8.7	8.0
Home (last 11)	11	0.82	0.73	1.55	73%	36%	27%	10.1	8.6

DET@NYR

1st period: DET 0, NYR 0

1.64Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -416

49% Over 1.5 · fair +105

23% Over 2.5 · fair +340

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
DETThis season	18	0.50	0.83	1.33	61%	50%	17%	8.0	8.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-0 1-1 1-1 0-0
Last 10	10	0.60	0.80	1.40	60%	60%	20%	7.6	9.1
Away (last 8)	8	0.50	0.63	1.13	50%	38%	25%	6.3	10.3
NYRThis season	19	0.89	1.05	1.95	84%	53%	32%	8.8	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 4-3 2-1 0-2 1-1
Last 10	10	1.20	1.20	2.40	90%	70%	40%	9.4	9.1
Home (last 8)	8	0.50	1.13	1.63	75%	50%	25%	8.5	10.3

NSH@PIT

1st period: NSH 0, PIT 3

1.57Expected 1P goals

79% Over 0.5 · fair -382

47% Over 1.5 · fair +114

21% Over 2.5 · fair +377

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NSHThis season	19	0.63	0.74	1.37	74%	53%	11%	8.3	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-2 1-1 1-0 0-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.60	1.40	80%	40%	20%	8.3	8.8
Away (last 7)	7	0.14	1.00	1.14	57%	43%	14%	7.9	7.6
PITThis season	18	0.89	0.89	1.78	89%	61%	17%	10.1	8.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-1 0-1 2-0 2-0
Last 10	10	1.00	0.90	1.90	90%	70%	20%	10.0	9.1
Home (last 7)	7	1.29	1.00	2.29	100%	86%	29%	10.4	9.7

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.