1st period totals

Friday, November 14, 2025 · 4 games

1.70League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

21%1P over 2.5

VAN@CAR

1st period: VAN 2, CAR 2

1.84Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -532

55% Over 1.5 · fair -122

28% Over 2.5 · fair +256

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
VANThis season	18	0.67	0.83	1.50	78%	44%	17%	9.3	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.70	0.90	1.60	80%	40%	20%	10.0	8.3
Away (last 9)	9	0.67	0.89	1.56	78%	67%	11%	8.4	9.8
CARThis season	16	1.31	0.88	2.19	88%	56%	31%	10.4	9.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 2-3 1-1 3-2 1-0
Last 10	10	1.70	1.10	2.80	90%	70%	50%	9.6	10.1
Home (last 7)	7	1.29	1.14	2.43	100%	57%	43%	9.6	7.4

NYI@UTA

1st period: NYI 1, UTA 2

1.71Expected 1P goals

82% Over 0.5 · fair -451

51% Over 1.5 · fair -103

24% Over 2.5 · fair +309

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NYIThis season	17	0.94	0.88	1.82	88%	65%	12%	8.8	8.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 0-1 2-0 0-2 0-0
Last 10	10	0.90	0.60	1.50	80%	50%	10%	8.8	8.2
Away (last 9)	9	1.00	0.67	1.67	89%	56%	11%	8.2	9.7
UTAThis season	17	1.00	0.59	1.59	82%	53%	12%	9.5	7.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-1 1-1 1-0 0-0
Last 10	10	1.30	0.50	1.80	80%	60%	20%	9.1	6.1
Home (last 6)	6	0.67	0.83	1.50	100%	50%	0%	10.2	8.7

PIT@NSH

1st period: PIT 0, NSH 0

1.66Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -428

50% Over 1.5 · fair +102

23% Over 2.5 · fair +329

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
PITThis season	17	0.94	0.94	1.88	94%	65%	18%	10.2	8.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-1 2-0 2-0 0-2
Last 10	10	1.10	0.90	2.00	100%	70%	20%	9.9	8.9
Away (last 10)	10	0.70	0.90	1.60	90%	50%	10%	10.1	8.3
NSHThis season	18	0.67	0.78	1.44	78%	56%	11%	8.3	9.4
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 1-1 1-0 0-1 1-1
Last 10	10	0.90	0.70	1.60	90%	50%	20%	8.7	9.3
Home (last 11)	11	1.00	0.64	1.64	91%	64%	9%	8.6	10.6

PHI@STL

1st period: PHI 1, STL 2

1.57Expected 1P goals

79% Over 0.5 · fair -379

46% Over 1.5 · fair +115

21% Over 2.5 · fair +381

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
PHIThis season	16	0.63	0.63	1.25	75%	38%	13%	6.7	8.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-2 0-1 3-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.60	0.80	1.40	80%	50%	10%	6.8	8.3
Away (last 5)	5	1.00	0.40	1.40	80%	40%	20%	8.0	10.8
STLThis season	17	0.88	1.00	1.88	88%	59%	24%	8.1	9.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 2-0 1-0 0-1 0-1
Last 10	10	1.20	0.80	2.00	100%	70%	20%	9.2	9.3
Home (last 10)	10	0.80	1.20	2.00	80%	70%	30%	7.7	8.6

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.