1st period totals

Wednesday, November 12, 2025 · 4 games

1.69League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

83%1P over 0.5

54%1P over 1.5

21%1P over 2.5

NYR@TBL

1st period: NYR 4, TBL 3

1.82Expected 1P goals

84% Over 0.5 · fair -515

54% Over 1.5 · fair -118

27% Over 2.5 · fair +266

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NYRThis season	17	0.76	1.00	1.76	88%	53%	29%	8.8	9.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 0-2 1-1 0-1 2-1
Last 10	10	1.00	1.30	2.30	100%	80%	40%	8.7	10.1
Away (last 9)	9	1.00	0.89	1.89	100%	56%	33%	9.0	9.0
TBLThis season	15	1.00	0.87	1.87	93%	60%	27%	8.9	10.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 0-2 1-1 1-1 0-0
Last 10	10	0.90	0.80	1.70	90%	60%	20%	9.5	9.7
Home (last 7)	7	1.00	1.00	2.00	86%	57%	43%	10.1	11.0

BUF@UTA

1st period: BUF 1, UTA 0

1.65Expected 1P goals

81% Over 0.5 · fair -419

49% Over 1.5 · fair +104

23% Over 2.5 · fair +338

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
BUFThis season	15	0.67	1.00	1.67	87%	47%	13%	8.8	9.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-1 0-0 3-2 0-2
Last 10	10	0.70	1.10	1.80	80%	50%	20%	9.5	8.3
Away (last 5)	5	0.40	1.20	1.60	100%	60%	0%	7.8	10.4
UTAThis season	16	1.06	0.56	1.63	81%	56%	13%	9.3	7.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-1 1-0 0-0 1-1
Last 10	10	1.30	0.50	1.80	80%	60%	20%	8.9	6.6
Home (last 5)	5	0.80	0.80	1.60	100%	60%	0%	9.8	8.8

NJD@CHI

1st period: NJD 0, CHI 1

1.50Expected 1P goals

78% Over 0.5 · fair -348

44% Over 1.5 · fair +126

19% Over 2.5 · fair +423

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
NJDThis season	16	0.75	0.88	1.63	94%	38%	19%	10.0	9.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-0 1-1 0-2 1-0
Last 10	10	0.80	1.10	1.90	100%	50%	20%	10.4	9.8
Away (last 8)	8	0.75	1.13	1.88	100%	50%	25%	10.9	10.5
CHIThis season	16	0.88	0.50	1.38	63%	44%	25%	8.5	10.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.80	0.30	1.10	60%	30%	20%	8.9	10.7
Home (last 6)	6	1.00	0.00	1.00	50%	33%	17%	9.3	9.2

EDM@PHI

1st period: EDM 1, PHI 0

1.22Expected 1P goals

71% Over 0.5 · fair -239

35% Over 1.5 · fair +190

13% Over 2.5 · fair +699

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
EDMThis season	17	0.59	0.59	1.18	71%	47%	0%	8.4	8.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-2 2-0 1-0 0-0
Last 10	10	0.60	0.90	1.50	90%	60%	0%	8.5	9.6
Away (last 9)	9	0.56	0.33	0.89	67%	22%	0%	8.2	8.1
PHIThis season	15	0.67	0.60	1.27	73%	40%	13%	6.8	7.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 0-1 3-0 0-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.80	0.80	1.60	80%	60%	20%	7.3	7.8
Home (last 10)	10	0.50	0.70	1.20	70%	40%	10%	6.2	6.5

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.