1st period totals

Monday, November 3, 2025 · 4 games

1.64League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

81%1P over 0.5

51%1P over 1.5

21%1P over 2.5

PIT@TOR

1st period: PIT 2, TOR 0

1.88Expected 1P goals

85% Over 0.5 · fair -554

56% Over 1.5 · fair -127

29% Over 2.5 · fair +244

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
PITThis season	13	0.85	1.08	1.92	92%	62%	23%	9.5	9.5
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-2 0-1 1-1 2-2 2-1
Last 10	10	0.90	1.20	2.10	90%	70%	30%	9.6	10.0
Away (last 8)	8	0.63	1.00	1.63	88%	50%	13%	10.1	9.0
TORThis season	12	1.00	0.83	1.83	100%	67%	8%	8.7	9.3
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-2 0-1 1-1 2-2
Last 10	10	0.90	0.90	1.80	100%	60%	10%	8.8	8.7
Home (last 8)	8	0.88	0.63	1.50	100%	50%	0%	9.0	9.1

CHI@SEA

1st period: CHI 0, SEA 0

1.61Expected 1P goals

80% Over 0.5 · fair -400

48% Over 1.5 · fair +109

22% Over 2.5 · fair +356

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
CHIThis season	12	1.00	0.58	1.58	67%	50%	33%	8.0	10.1
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-2 3-0 1-0 1-0
Last 10	10	1.00	0.40	1.40	60%	40%	30%	8.6	9.3
Away (last 6)	6	1.00	1.17	2.17	83%	67%	50%	6.7	11.0
SEAThis season	11	0.55	1.09	1.64	82%	55%	27%	7.1	9.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 0-2 1-0 0-0 0-1
Last 10	10	0.50	1.10	1.60	80%	50%	30%	7.3	8.9
Home (last 5)	5	0.60	1.00	1.60	80%	60%	20%	7.0	10.6

EDM@STL

1st period: EDM 1, STL 0

1.54Expected 1P goals

79% Over 0.5 · fair -367

46% Over 1.5 · fair +119

20% Over 2.5 · fair +396

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
EDMThis season	13	0.46	0.54	1.00	62%	38%	0%	8.8	8.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-1 0-2 0-1 0-1
Last 10	10	0.40	0.70	1.10	70%	40%	0%	8.3	9.0
Away (last 7)	7	0.29	0.43	0.71	57%	14%	0%	8.4	7.6
STLThis season	12	0.83	1.25	2.08	83%	67%	33%	8.0	8.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-1 1-2 2-2 2-0
Last 10	10	1.00	1.20	2.20	80%	70%	40%	8.4	9.1
Home (last 7)	7	0.57	1.57	2.14	71%	71%	43%	6.4	8.4

VAN@NSH

1st period: VAN 1, NSH 1

1.31Expected 1P goals

73% Over 0.5 · fair -270

38% Over 1.5 · fair +166

14% Over 2.5 · fair +591

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
VANThis season	13	0.62	0.69	1.31	85%	38%	8%	7.9	9.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-1 0-1 1-0 1-0
Last 10	10	0.70	0.80	1.50	90%	50%	10%	8.3	9.4
Away (last 8)	8	0.63	0.88	1.50	75%	63%	13%	8.0	10.5
NSHThis season	13	0.62	0.69	1.31	69%	54%	8%	8.6	9.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-0 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1
Last 10	10	0.60	0.70	1.30	70%	50%	10%	9.1	9.4
Home (last 8)	8	1.00	0.63	1.63	88%	63%	13%	9.6	11.4

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.