1st period totals

Wednesday, October 22, 2025 · 3 games

1.54League 1P goals/game, 2025–26

79%1P over 0.5

49%1P over 1.5

18%1P over 2.5

MTL@CGY

1st period: MTL 1, CGY 0

1.57Expected 1P goals

79% Over 0.5 · fair -381

47% Over 1.5 · fair +115

21% Over 2.5 · fair +378

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
MTLThis season	7	1.14	0.43	1.57	71%	43%	29%	8.6	6.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 2-1 0-0 1-0 0-0
Last 10	7	1.14	0.43	1.57	71%	43%	29%	8.6	6.7
Away (last 3)	3	1.33	0.67	2.00	67%	67%	33%	9.3	8.3
CGYThis season	7	0.71	0.86	1.57	86%	43%	14%	8.0	7.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-3 1-0 2-0 1-0
Last 10	7	0.71	0.86	1.57	86%	43%	14%	8.0	7.9
Home (last 3)	3	1.00	0.00	1.00	67%	33%	0%	9.3	6.3

MIN@NJD

1st period: MIN 0, NJD 1

1.37Expected 1P goals

75% Over 0.5 · fair -293

40% Over 1.5 · fair +152

16% Over 2.5 · fair +529

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
MINThis season	7	0.86	0.71	1.57	86%	57%	14%	10.1	8.7
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 0-0 0-1 0-2 3-0
Last 10	7	0.86	0.71	1.57	86%	57%	14%	10.1	8.7
Away (last 5)	5	0.60	0.80	1.40	80%	60%	0%	8.6	8.8
NJDThis season	6	0.67	0.50	1.17	83%	17%	17%	9.3	8.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 0-0 0-1 1-0 3-0
Last 10	6	0.67	0.50	1.17	83%	17%	17%	9.3	8.2
Home (last 2)	2	0.00	0.50	0.50	50%	0%	0%	8.0	7.5

DET@BUF

1st period: DET 0, BUF 0

1.33Expected 1P goals

74% Over 0.5 · fair -279

38% Over 1.5 · fair +160

15% Over 2.5 · fair +564

Team	GP	1P GF	1P GA	1P total	Over 0.5	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	1P SF	1P SA
DETThis season	6	0.50	0.83	1.33	67%	33%	17%	9.7	8.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 0-2
Last 10	6	0.50	0.83	1.33	67%	33%	17%	9.7	8.0
Away (last 1)	1	1.00	0.00	1.00	100%	0%	0%	6.0	13.0
BUFThis season	6	0.50	0.83	1.33	100%	33%	0%	7.2	12.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-1 1-0 1-1 1-1 0-1
Last 10	6	0.50	0.83	1.33	100%	33%	0%	7.2	12.8
Home (last 4)	4	0.75	0.75	1.50	100%	50%	0%	8.8	11.5

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total: Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5: Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals: Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price: The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.