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1st period totals

Monday, October 20, 2025 · 5 games

← Oct 19 Oct 21 →
1.53League 1P goals/game, 2025–26
78%1P over 0.5
49%1P over 1.5
18%1P over 2.5
WPG@CGY
1st period: WPG 0, CGY 0
1.82Expected 1P goals
84% Over 0.5 · fair -515
54% Over 1.5 · fair -118
27% Over 2.5 · fair +265
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
WPGThis season 5 1.400.401.80 100%60%20% 9.47.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 1-0 2-0 1-0 1-2
Last 10 5 1.400.401.80 100%60%20% 9.47.6
Away (last 2) 2 1.500.001.50 100%50%0% 7.57.5
CGYThis season 6 0.831.001.83 100%50%17% 7.88.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-3 1-0 2-0 1-0 0-1
Last 10 6 0.831.001.83 100%50%17% 7.88.0
Home (last 2) 2 1.500.001.50 100%50%0% 9.56.0
CAR@VGK
1st period: CAR 0, VGK 2
1.67Expected 1P goals
81% Over 0.5 · fair -429
50% Over 1.5 · fair +101
23% Over 2.5 · fair +327
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
CARThis season 5 0.800.201.00 80%20%0% 12.47.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-0 1-0 0-0 0-1 1-0
Last 10 5 0.800.201.00 80%20%0% 12.47.2
Away (last 3) 3 1.000.001.00 67%33%0% 12.78.0
VGKThis season 6 1.001.332.33 83%83%33% 8.710.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 3-1 2-2 0-2 0-0 1-1
Last 10 6 1.001.332.33 83%83%33% 8.710.0
Home (last 3) 3 1.671.673.33 100%100%67% 9.010.7
BUF@MTL
1st period: BUF 0, MTL 1
1.53Expected 1P goals
78% Over 0.5 · fair -363
45% Over 1.5 · fair +121
20% Over 2.5 · fair +401
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
BUFThis season 5 0.600.801.40 100%40%0% 7.412.6
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-0 1-1 1-1 0-1 0-1
Last 10 5 0.600.801.40 100%40%0% 7.412.6
Away (last 1) 1 0.001.001.00 100%0%0% 2.017.0
MTLThis season 6 1.170.501.67 67%50%33% 7.76.8
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 2-1 0-0 1-0 0-0 3-1
Last 10 6 1.170.501.67 67%50%33% 7.76.8
Home (last 3) 3 1.000.331.33 67%33%33% 6.05.3
MIN@NYR
1st period: MIN 1, NYR 1
1.25Expected 1P goals
71% Over 0.5 · fair -249
36% Over 1.5 · fair +181
13% Over 2.5 · fair +660
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
MINThis season 6 0.830.671.50 83%50%17% 9.29.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-1 0-2 3-0 0-1
Last 10 6 0.830.671.50 83%50%17% 9.29.2
Away (last 4) 4 0.500.751.25 75%50%0% 6.89.5
NYRThis season 7 0.430.571.00 71%14%14% 8.98.9
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1-0
Last 10 7 0.430.571.00 71%14%14% 8.98.9
Home (last 3) 3 0.000.330.33 33%0%0% 8.78.3
SEA@PHI
1st period: SEA 1, PHI 2
1.10Expected 1P goals
67% Over 0.5 · fair -200
30% Over 1.5 · fair +232
10% Over 2.5 · fair +904
TeamGP1P GF1P GA1P total Over 0.5Over 1.5Over 2.51P SF1P SA
SEAThis season 5 0.601.001.60 80%60%20% 6.89.0
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 1-1 1-2 0-1 0-0 1-1
Last 10 5 0.601.001.60 80%60%20% 6.89.0
Away (last 3) 3 0.671.332.00 100%67%33% 6.77.0
PHIThis season 5 0.400.200.60 60%0%0% 5.88.2
Last 5 first periods (for–against): 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-0 0-0
Last 10 5 0.400.200.60 60%0%0% 5.88.2
Home (last 3) 3 0.330.330.67 67%0%0% 5.74.3

Games are sorted by expected 1st-period goals, highest first. Compare the fair prices with your sportsbook's 1st period total.

How to read this page

1P GF / GA / total
Average 1st-period goals scored, allowed, and combined, per game. Overtime and shootouts don't count.
O0.5 / O1.5 / O2.5
Share of the team's games where the 1st period had more than 0, 1, or 2 goals combined.
Expected 1P goals
Each team's 1st-period scoring averaged with the opponent's 1st-period goals allowed, added together. Early in the season, last season's numbers are blended in until a team has played 10 games.
Over % and fair price
The chance the 1st period goes over each line if goals follow a Poisson distribution with the expected total, shown with the matching no-margin American odds. A green outline on a past game means that line went over.

Past results don't guarantee future ones. This is a simple statistical model, not a prediction.